Should I buy XPeng stock in 2025? NZ Analysis & Expert Insights

What is XPeng?

How much is the XPeng stock?

The price of XPeng stock is rising this week. As of now, XPeng (XPEV) trades at $20.10 USD, showing a 24-hour increase of +$0.77 (+3.98%), though down -1.95% over the past week.

XPeng’s beta is 2.63, signalling substantial price volatility; investors in New Zealand should be aware that while there is strong growth momentum, the stock price can fluctuate sharply.

Our full analysis on XPeng stock

After a thorough review of XPeng’s most recent financial results and an in-depth assessment of its share price action over the past three years, our proprietary approach—melding key financial ratios, advanced technical markers, sector dynamics, and competitive benchmarking—offers compelling new insights. The convergence of improving fundamentals and prevailing market sentiment highlights several potential inflection points on the horizon. So, why might XPeng stock once again become a strategic entry point into the smart electric vehicle (EV) sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

XPeng’s share price has staged a remarkable comeback over the last 12 months, currently trading at $20.10 USD—a 144.82% increase year-on-year and a 66.8% gain over six months, despite some nominal short-term volatility (-1.95% weekly). Notably, its most recent intraday move saw the stock up nearly 4%. This bounce is being powered by a series of positive news:

• The launch of new models and swift progress in international expansion (now present in 30 countries, targeting 60 by year-end).
• A high-profile partnership with Volkswagen focused on ultra-fast charging infrastructure in China, underlining strategic growth and capital inflows.
• A strong Q1 2025 delivery print: 94,008 vehicles delivered, up a spectacular 330.8% year-on-year, cementing XPeng’s rapid operational scaling trajectory.

Positioned at the intersection of technological innovation and surging demand for EVs in China and abroad, XPeng now rides atop several macroeconomic tailwinds:

• The Chinese NEV (New Energy Vehicle) market remains one of the fastest-growing globally, buttressed by government incentives, evolving urban mobility trends, and elevated consumer adoption rates.
• Global capital inflows into green technology, further amplified by regulatory support and ESG-driven mandates.
• Comparatively attractive entry points as investors rotate into growth assets aligned with the carbon-neutral transition.

Technical Analysis

XPeng’s technical landscape reveals a favourable setup for buyers focused on short to medium-term appreciation:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 55.14, the RSI is comfortably within a bullish regime, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions—a state primed for further advances.
• Moving Averages: The stock is trading above both its 20-day ($19.68) and 200-day ($19.86) moving averages, classically interpreted as a buy signal among technical traders. It remains just below the 50- and 100-day averages, hinting at a consolidation phase and potential breakout opportunity as upward momentum accelerates.
• MACD: The current MACD (-0.01) is virtually neutral, offering a clean slate for momentum investors.
• Support/Resistance: The nearest support zone ($19.14–$19.52) underpins the current price, suggesting limited downside, while a breakout above the $20.80–$26.30 resistance band could quickly unlock further upside, especially with rising volume and positive crossovers.

Most notably, the recent cluster of technical buy signals—culminating in a “Strong Buy” consensus among technical models—suggest that XPeng is entering a new bullish phase, with immediate risk/reward skewed to the upside.

Fundamental Analysis

XPeng’s fundamental credentials have strengthened considerably, even as the broader sector remains highly competitive:

• Revenue Growth: Q4 2024 revenue was $2.21 billion USD, up 23.4% year-on-year and 59.4% sequentially—a remarkable acceleration amidst a challenging macro environment.
• Margin Improvements: Gross margin reached 14.4% in Q4 2024 (up 8.2 points year-on-year), with vehicle margin at 10% (up 5.9 points). These outpace most peers and underscore effective cost controls, scale efficiencies, and product mix upgrades.
• Operational Scale: Vehicle deliveries surged over 52% year-on-year in Q4 2024 and soared 330.8% in Q1 2025—an unequivocal signal of consumer demand and production agility.
• Valuation: While not yet profitable (negative P/E), XPeng's price-to-sales ratio remains significantly below many global EV names, highlighting underlying value for long-term growth investors. The current analyst consensus target of $23.62 (+22.55% potential) affirms the ongoing re-rating potential as XPeng narrows losses and continues margin expansion.
• Balance Sheet Strength: A sizeable cash position (RMB 41.96 billion, ~$5.75 billion USD) equips XPeng to fund its R&D pipeline, global expansion, and further scale its proprietary tech platforms without dilution risk.
• Innovative Leadership: Cutting-edge advances in L3/L4 autonomous driving, AI, and embedded systems—coupled with the game-changing SEPA 2.0 platform and the new XOS Tianji vehicle OS—cement XPeng’s reputation as a technology innovator.
• Strategic Partnerships: The Volkswagen alliance not only provides capital and manufacturing know-how but also paves the way for a broad-based global charging infrastructure, a critical differentiator as EV competition stiffens.

These data points reinforce the structural strengths that make XPeng’s value proposition increasingly difficult to ignore, especially as the company achieves operational leverage and builds toward profit inflection.

Volume and Liquidity

XPeng’s liquidity profile is exemplary among Chinese EV equities:

• Robust Trading Volume: An average of 11.41 million shares change hands daily, ensuring price discovery and minimal slippage for institutional and individual investors alike. This level of activity is a direct proxy for sustained market confidence and deep interest among both growth and tech-focused funds.
• Ample Float: The dual listing on NYSE and HKEX, coupled with substantial free float (~951.8 million shares), yields dynamic valuations that can swiftly reflect fundamental and headline-driven catalysts. Investors in the New Zealand market benefit from participation in a liquid, transparent, and globally accessible security.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Looking ahead, XPeng’s story is defined by a robust pipeline of bullish catalysts:

• Aggressive Expansion: The firm is targeting entry into 60 markets by the close of 2025, nearly doubling its international reach and vastly broadening its addressable market.
• Product Launches: The rollout of the G7 SUV and MONA M03 Max in Q2 2025 is poised to further ramp both volumes and margins, leveraging consumer appetite for feature-rich smart EVs.
• Tech Leadership: XPeng’s L3/L4 autonomous driving tech—along with deep investments in AI-powered platforms—places it at the vanguard of intelligent vehicle innovation.
• Sustained Margin Enhancement: Six consecutive quarters of vehicle margin improvement demonstrate a durable structural transformation, underpinning the case for longer-term profitability and equity rerating.
• ESG Momentum: With global capital keenly focused on green vehicles and sustainability, XPeng stands as a pure-play on the world’s most dynamic clean transport market.
• Favourable Regulatory Environment: Ongoing policy support for both Chinese and global EV adoption continues to favour manufacturers with innovation, scale, and infrastructure muscle.

Collectively, these multiple levers offer an environment where both earnings growth and sentiment can compound sharply, providing a constructive context for share price appreciation.

Investment Strategies

XPeng’s current technical and fundamental alignment creates distinct opportunities for investors with differing timeframes:

• Short-Term: Recent consolidation above support levels suggests that a technical rebound could be imminent, especially if upcoming product launches or delivery releases meet or exceed expectations. Volatility remains elevated, supporting tactical entries for experienced traders.
• Medium-Term: For investors with a 6–12 month horizon, the combination of growth (vehicle deliveries and international footprint), margin progress, and new product ramp-up justifies renewed interest. Entry ahead of the next major results or product milestones appears well timed.
• Long-Term: XPeng’s exposure to secular trends in electrification, autonomous driving, and emerging-market adoption positions the stock as a “core satellite” in tech and growth portfolios. The underpinnings of margin recovery, market share gains, and tech leadership point toward sustained compounding as losses narrow and potential profitability appears on the horizon.

Optimal positioning may be achieved by accumulating shares on retracements near the $19–$19.50 support zone or before major delivery and product news. This approach seeks to optimize entry price in anticipation of structural catalysts.

Is It the Right Time to Buy XPeng?

XPeng’s combination of rapid operational scaling, accelerating innovation, robust margin recovery, and a clearly defined global go-to-market strategy seem to represent an excellent opportunity for exposure to the next generation of smart vehicle growth. With technical indicators flashing tentative buy signals, consensus targets offering further upside, and a steady drumbeat of positive newsflow, the fundamentals justify renewed interest from both growth-oriented and sector-agnostic investors. While volatility should be respected, the current levels and near-term catalysts place XPeng at the heart of one of the most dynamic stories in the global EV and technology landscape.

For NZ investors seeking growth beyond traditional Western markets, XPeng’s unique blend of technological prowess, market momentum, and visionary leadership may be entering a new bullish phase—one that warrants close, ongoing consideration as the global EV race accelerates into 2025 and beyond.

At this pivotal junction, XPeng stock appears poised for further appreciation, offering an attractive risk-reward proposition for those focused on the upside potential presented by the rapidly evolving world of smart electric mobility.

How to buy XPeng stock in New Zealand?

Buying XPeng stock online is both straightforward and secure for investors in New Zealand when using a regulated and trusted broker. You can access XPeng (listed on the NYSE: XPEV) either by purchasing the shares outright (spot/cash buying) or by speculating on their price via CFDs (Contracts for Difference). Each method has its own advantages and risks, from simple ownership to leveraged trading. To make the right choice for your investment style, it’s important to compare NZ-friendly brokers—more details on this are provided further down this page.

Spot buying

A cash or spot purchase involves directly buying XPeng shares, making you an actual shareholder with rights such as attending AGMs and receiving any potential dividends (note: XPeng does not currently pay dividends). Most New Zealand brokers let you buy US-listed stocks in USD, and typical fees include a flat commission per transaction, which usually ranges from NZ$3 to NZ$7 per order.

Example

If the XPeng share price is $20.10 USD (approx. NZ$33 at NZD/USD = 0.61), and you invest NZ$1,000 (about $610 USD), you could buy about 30 XPeng shares (NZ$990), factoring in a commission of NZ$5.

Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10% to $22.11 USD, the new value of your shares is NZ$1,089. A gross profit of NZ$99, or +10% on your investment (before any tax).

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on XPeng’s price movements without owning the shares. You can go long or short, and use leverage (borrowed funds) to amplify results. Fees typically consist of the spread (difference between buy and sell price) and overnight financing if your position remains open longer than a day.

Example

With NZ$1,000, you open a CFD position in XPeng stock using 5x leverage, giving you exposure to NZ$5,000. If the share price rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. That’s a NZ$400 profit on your NZ$1,000 stake—excluding spread and overnight fees.

Final advice

Before you invest, always compare brokers’ fees, commission structures, and features, particularly for international stocks. Your choice—cash buying for straightforward ownership, or CFDs for flexible trading—depends on your goals and risk tolerance. To help you make the best decision, see our broker comparison further down the page and select the option that best suits your needs. Investing is accessible and rewarding when you take the time to choose wisely.

Our 7 tips for buying XPeng stock

The latest news about XPeng

XPeng continues its strategic international expansion, increasing its global footprint and ambitions for 2025. In the last week, XPeng reiterated its ambitious goal to be present in 60 countries by the end of 2025, up from its current presence in 30 markets. This intensifying international thrust, while not announcing any direct New Zealand market entry yet, is highly relevant as New Zealand is expanding its electric vehicle infrastructure and consumer interest in imported EVs is strong. XPeng’s ongoing expansion into new right-hand-drive (RHD) markets in Asia and Oceania signals the potential for future local presence, which could impact EV competition and accessibility in New Zealand, fostering additional investor interest.

XPeng reported exceptionally strong Q1 2025 results, signaling robust operational momentum and exceeding delivery forecasts. For the first quarter of 2025, XPeng delivered 94,008 vehicles, a year-on-year jump of over 330.8%, confirming the company’s strong operational performance and positive market sentiment. The company’s Q4 2024 financials also showed significant improvements in both gross margin and unit margins. While XPeng remains unprofitable, analysts note continued narrowing of losses and successive quarter-on-quarter improvement in key metrics. This operational and margin strength supports share price resilience and future upside, which is material to New Zealand investors seeking high-growth international exposure within the smart EV sector.

Partnership with Volkswagen progresses, focusing on scaling ultra-fast charging networks and technology collaboration. Recent updates confirm XPeng’s deepening collaboration with Volkswagen to jointly develop one of China’s most extensive ultra-fast EV charging networks. This partnership not only advances technological standards for charging infrastructure but also translates into know-how and resources that could be leveraged should XPeng or its partners expand in Oceania. For New Zealand, where Volkswagen has a well-established presence and is growing its EV portfolio, this relationship bolsters the likelihood of future co-branded or technology-enhanced EV offerings making their way to the local market.

Technical analysis remains overwhelmingly positive, with strong buy signals and price targets suggesting further growth potential. Key technical indicators as of the week show a “Strong Buy” consensus, with the current price above the 20– and 200–day moving averages, and an RSI (55.14) in bullish territory. The consensus analyst target price sits at $23.62 USD, a 22.55% premium over the last close. These signals align with broader market optimism around XPeng’s trajectory and provide supporting evidence for growth-focused New Zealand investors considering global tech-driven automotive plays.

XPeng’s sustained emphasis on R&D and new model launches underpins its position as an innovation leader in smart EVs. XPeng's rollout of its proprietary SEPA 2.0 EV platform, the debut of its new MONA M03 Max and G7 SUV in Q2 2025, and ongoing enhancements in autonomous driving technology and in-car operating systems have reinforced its image as one of China’s most innovative automotive companies. As New Zealand steadily aligns its transport policy towards greener, smarter mobility solutions and consumer demand for advanced vehicle technologies grows, XPeng’s market-ready innovations bolster its potential appeal in the region—appealing not only to EV adopters but also to investors tracking the future of vehicle technology globally.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.