Should I buy Sidus Space stock in 2025? NZ Guide

What is Sidus Space?

How much is the Sidus Space stock?

The price of Sidus Space stock is falling this week. As of now, the stock trades at USD $1.46, with a 24-hour decline of 0.68% and a weekly drop of 3.95%. Its current market capitalisation stands at approximately USD $26.91 million, and the average trading volume over the past three months is around 730,459 shares. Sidus Space does not report a P/E Ratio due to ongoing losses, nor does it pay a dividend, while the stock beta is 1.46, indicating above-average volatility. Given the notable price swings and early-stage market position, Sidus Space may appeal to NZ investors who are both risk-tolerant and seeking exposure to the dynamic space technology sector.

Our full analysis on the Sidus Space stock

Having thoroughly examined Sidus Space’s latest quarterly earnings, recent stock movements, and competitive positioning via a blend of financial models, technical indicators, and proprietary benchmarking, we believe the stock warrants fresh scrutiny. Our analysis synthesises updated market data, technical oscillators, and sector dynamics to decode both the near-term and structural drivers of value in Sidus Space. So, why might Sidus Space re-emerge as a strategic entry point into the next wave of space technology investments in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Sidus Space (NASDAQ: SIDU) has experienced a challenging year by traditional yardsticks, with the share price declining 50.17% over the last twelve months and dropping 70.20% year-to-date to trade at $1.46 as of 29 May 2025. However, the long-term context reveals a stock that is undergoing a significant transformation aligned with evolving aerospace and space technology markets—sectors that have historically rewarded bold pivots.

Despite recent underperformance, the past quarter has seen a concentration of positive operational milestones:

• May 2025: Successful launch of FeatherEdge™ Gen-2 AI aboard the LizzieSat®-3 platform.
• May 2025: Release of Fortis™ VPX, an AI-powered, ruggedized OpenVPX module.
• March 2025: Completion of LizzieSat™-3 mission demonstrating advanced AI capabilities.
• April 2025: Signed MOU with Saturn Satellite Networks for GEO satellite platform development.

This operational momentum is set against a broader sector resurgence. Global investment in space infrastructure is accelerating, underpinned by defence modernisation, commercial satellite growth, and exponential demand for AI-enabled technologies. Macroeconomic headwinds are stabilising—particularly inflation and rates—which is rekindling risk appetite for high-growth potential stocks among New Zealand and global investors alike.

Technical Analysis

A detailed look at current technicals presents a nuanced but constructive picture:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 49.27, Sidus Space is neither overbought nor oversold, signalling symmetry and the potential for a trend reversal from oversold territory.
• MACD: The current MACD reading of just below 0 implies neutral momentum—often a prelude to a directional move as volatility subsides.
• Moving Averages: While the 20-day moving average issues a sell trigger and the price trades just beneath the 50-day average at $1.54, the 200-day trend remains broadly bullish—a sign of underlying structural conviction.
• Support/Resistance: Key support is evident at $1.42 and resistance at $1.51. Notably, the 52-week range of $1.14–$7.65 highlights the stock’s capacity for powerful upside once sentiment shifts.
• Recent Signals: Though short-term indicators remain negative, the technical score and trading structure suggest a late-stage washout, often an ideal setup for investors seeking value at technical lows.

In summary, Sidus Space exhibits a trading structure ripe for a bullish reversal, especially as operational catalysts materialise and momentum stabilises.

Fundamental Analysis

Sidus Space is currently in transition, prioritising high-value AI and satellite solutions over legacy revenue streams:

• Revenue: Q1 2025 revenue dropped to $238,000 versus $1.05M the prior year (down 77%), reflecting intentional business model pivot rather than waning demand.
• Profitability: A net loss of $6.4M (Q1) is elevated during the transition phase; however, such loss-profile is not uncommon at the pioneering stage for high IP, high-innovation aerospace entrants.
• Market Capitalisation & Valuation: Trading at a $26.91M market cap, valuation multiples lack direct comparability (no PE), but a 1-year price target consensus of $10.00 positions current pricing at a deep discount (over 85% upside potential).
• Structural Advantages: Sidus Space benefits from:
• 35,000 sq. ft. vertically integrated Cape Canaveral facilities (unique in the peer group).
• Strict ISO 9001:2015 and AS9100 Rev D certifications, underpinning quality and eligibility for mission-critical contracts.
• Proprietary tech, including FeatherEdge™ (edge AI), Orlaith™ AI ecosystem, and space-to-space data relay capability.

Sidus Space’s ongoing shift towards AI and advanced satellite services should unlock higher-multiple, recurring, and global revenue sources—particularly as partnerships and contract pipelines build out.

Volume and Liquidity

Market confidence in Sidus Space remains notable with a 65-day average volume of 730,459 shares, supported by a public free float of 18.07 million shares (out of 18.2m issued).

• Volume trends indicate persistent investor engagement despite recent softness—often a sign that both institutional and tactical traders are maintaining a close watch.
• Liquidity profile is robust, allowing for dynamic valuation recalibration as market catalysts emerge. For NZ investors, this means ease of entry and exit even as the narrative evolves.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several impending developments stand out as likely triggers for a renewed upward trajectory:

• Preliminary $120M Lonestar contract agreement for lunar data storage spacecraft—a transformative deal for a company of Sidus Space’s market capitalisation.
• International expansion—notably the rollout of the Orlaith™ AI ecosystem and satellite partnerships across Asia and Europe.
• Regulatory/ESG leadership—including FCC approval for space-to-space data relay and scaled communications that can unlock additional commercial and defence applications.
• Technological pipeline—with milestone launches of AI-integrated LizzieSat platforms, continued product innovation (e.g., Fortis™ VPX), and ties to high-moat, sticky revenue streams.

Sector tailwinds also underpin the story, as the convergence of AI, communication tech, and commercial space operations becomes a strategic imperative for governments and large enterprises worldwide. These macro and company-specific drivers are particularly resonant in the current market phase, where re-rating tech equities with clear innovation pipelines is increasingly evident.

Investment Strategies

Current trading levels seem to represent an appealing asymmetric opportunity across investor timeframes:

• Short-term: Technical indicators suggest proximity to a mean-reversion low (strong support at $1.42), making this period attractive for tactical entries aiming to capitalise on near-term catalysts.
• Medium-term: Tailwinds from contract wins, platform launches, and sector-wide risk-on dynamics position Sidus Space for potential multi-bagger moves as sentiment realigns.
• Long-term: Those with higher risk tolerance and strategic horizons may recognise in Sidus Space a pure-play access point to a sector poised for exponential growth—akin to early entries in now-mainstream names. The stock’s undervaluation, combined with a clear innovation roadmap and partnerships, amplifies this appeal.

Optimal positioning would leverage the technical base being set at current price levels, with potential scaling through anticipated catalysts such as contract announcements or further technological breakthroughs.

Is it the Right Time to Buy Sidus Space?

Sidus Space emerges as a stock at the intersection of undervaluation, technological innovation, and near-term catalyst-rich positioning.

• Key strengths include:
• A deliberate business pivot towards high-margin, high-growth AI and satellite solutions, with significant first-mover advantage.
• Deep operational and technological IP, underscored by manufacturing scale, certifications, and proprietary AI.
• Catalysts spanning new contracts, international expansion, and regulatory validation.
• Healthy market liquidity and broad sector tailwinds.

While near-term financials reflect temporary growing pains, the underlying fundamentals and the strategic vision justify renewed interest at current prices. Sidus Space may be entering a new bullish phase as both technical and fundamental conditions align, offering compelling convexity for NZ investors seeking diversified technology exposure.

In sum, Sidus Space appears positioned at a critical inflection point, where structural innovations and evolving markets could drive a robust re-rating. For those seeking early-stage growth opportunities in the space and technology sectors, the current environment seems to represent an excellent window to re-evaluate Sidus Space as a cornerstone in forward-looking portfolios.

How to buy Sidus Space stock in New Zealand?

Buying Sidus Space stock online is both straightforward and secure when using a regulated broker in New Zealand. With just a few clicks, you can invest directly in shares (spot buying) or take positions using Contracts for Difference (CFDs), depending on your goals and risk appetite. Spot buying means owning the actual shares, while CFDs allow you to speculate on price movements with leverage, without owning the underlying asset. Both methods are accessible on modern trading platforms. To help you make the right choice, you’ll find a detailed comparison of leading NZ brokers further down this page.

Spot Buying

A cash (spot) purchase of Sidus Space stock means you are buying real shares on the NASDAQ, which are then held in your brokerage account. Most regulated NZ brokers charge a fixed commission per order, usually ranging from NZ$3 to NZ$8, when buying US-listed shares.

Example

If the Sidus Space share price is US$1.46 (~NZ$2.40), you can buy around 404 shares with a NZ$1,000 stake (NZ$1,000 / NZ$2.40 per share = ~417, minus fees). Including an NZ$5 brokerage fee, you’ll invest NZ$995, allowing you to purchase approximately 414 shares.

✔️ Gain Scenario: If the Sidus Space share price rises by 10%, your holding is now worth NZ$1,100. Result: +NZ$100 gross gain, or +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading on Sidus Space shares allows you to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying stock. You can apply leverage (often from 2x up to 5x), increasing your market exposure while committing less capital. Fees include the spread (difference between buy and sell prices) and overnight financing costs if you hold positions for more than a day.

Example

With a NZ$1,000 deposit and 5x leverage, your position size is NZ$5,000. If Sidus Space’s share price rises by 8%, your gain is amplified: 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: +NZ$400 gain on your NZ$1,000 investment (excluding fees).

Final Advice

Before you invest, it's essential to compare brokers’ fees, commissions, and available features, as costs can vary and impact returns over time. The ideal method—owning shares for long-term growth or trading CFDs for shorter-term speculation—depends on your personal objectives, experience and risk profile. Take your time to review the comprehensive broker comparison tool below to select the platform that best fits your needs and trading style.

Our 7 tips for buying Sidus Space stock

The latest news about Sidus Space

Sidus Space successfully launched its FeatherEdge™ Gen-2 AI computing platform on LizzieSat®-3 in May 2025.

The recently deployed FeatherEdge™ Gen-2 enhances advanced AI-powered analysis in orbit, further supporting Sidus Space’s transition toward AI-centric solutions in the satellite industry. The deployment reflects tangible progress in commercialising satellite-based machine learning, positioning Sidus as a technical leader within the small satellite segment. This innovation not only supports long-term growth strategies but may also benefit New Zealand’s rapidly expanding aerospace sector, which actively seeks partnerships with companies offering next-generation in-orbit data processing capabilities.

Sidus Space has expanded its international footprint through partnerships in Asia and Europe for advanced satellite solutions.

These freshly announced alliances reinforce Sidus’s intent to access global markets, diversify its revenue streams, and leverage international expertise. For New Zealand, known for its open approach to international collaboration in the space industry, this expansion could facilitate technology transfer, joint missions, or contract opportunities for the country's growing ecosystem of space-focused firms and research organizations. The cross-border partnerships also signal Sidus's intention to establish deeper links in regions where investments in commercial space infrastructure are on the rise.

Sidus Space’s innovative Fortis™ VPX module, powered by AI, was launched in May 2025, showcasing rapid commercialisation of ruggedised space hardware.

The introduction of the Fortis™ VPX OpenVPX 3U module demonstrates Sidus’s ongoing capacity to deliver state-of-the-art, AI-enabled mission-critical hardware for use in harsh environments. This rapid innovation cycle serves as a constructive market signal, underlining Sidus’s aspiration to address growing demand for on-orbit processing—a trend of interest to New Zealand, which is actively investing in advanced payloads and robust hardware suitable for both civil and defence space applications.

Sidus Space’s long-term technological relevance is further validated by FCC approval for its space-to-space data relay capabilities.

The recent regulatory milestone allows Sidus to expand commercial satellite data transmission services, strengthening its position in the emerging communications relay segment. Given New Zealand’s unique involvement in international space missions and data relay ground stations, particularly in collaboration with US-listed space leaders, Sidus’s progress in this area opens up potential for future links, data-sharing, or support agreements that could benefit local industry players and enable strategic national projects.

The company maintains a $10.00 12-month price target, and strategic pivots toward AI and satellites receive cautious market optimism despite weak short-term results.

While Sidus Space’s Q1 2025 financial performance showed a 77% drop in quarterly revenue linked to strategic restructuring, the market has responded to the company’s technological advancements and international expansion plans with a cautiously positive outlook on its high-risk/high-reward profile. For New Zealand investors and analysts, this dynamic underscores an opportunity to monitor Sidus as a benchmark for innovation-led growth in aerospace, and as a potential partner for local ventures seeking exposure to cutting-edge satellite and AI technologies.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.