Should I buy Nvidia stock in 2025? Expert NZ Analysis

What is Nvidia?

Note: Nvidia reports operating income and net income; EBITDA value can be estimated but is not explicitly stated in the latest release.

What is the price of Nvidia stock?

The price of Nvidia stock is rising this week. As of now, Nvidia is trading at $139.19 USD, recording a 24-hour gain of +$4.38 (+3.25%) and a weekly increase from last Thursday.

The company’s market capitalisation stands at $3.29 trillion, with a robust 3-month average trading volume of 370.62 million shares.

Given its strong run and market leadership, Nvidia continues to present notable opportunities—and inherent risks—for NZ investors seeking exposure to cutting-edge tech trends.

Our full analysis of the Nvidia stock

Having thoroughly reviewed Nvidia Corporation’s latest financial statements, its stellar share price evolution over the past three years, and triangulated data from a broad spectrum of sources—ranging from financial metrics and technical analytics to sector comparisons and market sentiment—we have applied our rigorous proprietary algorithms to deliver a holistic appraisal of Nvidia’s investment case. As the clear leader in the AI-driven semiconductor revolution, Nvidia continues to capture investors’ imagination worldwide with its relentless innovation and robust financial performance. So, why might Nvidia stock once again become a strategic entry point into next-generation technology for discerning investors in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has delivered extraordinary returns for shareholders, with its share price recently quoted at $139.19 as of 30 May 2025—a rise of +3.25% in the latest session, peaking in the past year at $153.13 before a modest after-hours adjustment to $137.68. Over the past six and twelve months, Nvidia stock has sustained a distinct upward trajectory, significantly outperforming the broader NASDAQ 100 and the wider technology sector.

This exceptional momentum is underpinned by multiple positive events. The release of Q1 FY2026 results on 28 May revealed record revenues of $44.1 billion, decisively beating analyst expectations and reinforcing Nvidia’s position as the preeminent artificial intelligence (AI) hardware provider. Notably, the company achieved a sequential revenue increase of 12% and robust annual growth of 69%, while EPS also exceeded forecasts at $0.96 per share (vs $0.93 expected).

On a macro level, the global digitalisation trend, surging AI adoption, and massive investment in cloud infrastructure and data centres create an exceptionally supportive environment for Nvidia’s continued growth. Moreover, favourable economic tailwinds—such as declining interest rates and reinforced global chip demand—amplify the company’s prospects, even as modest headwinds from restricted Chinese sales are more than offset by escalating international demand.

Technical Analysis

Technical indicators for Nvidia currently point to a constructive backdrop. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 66.64, reflecting neutral-to-bullish momentum and ample room for further upside before signalling overbought conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) presents mixed short-term signals, with some sources indicating a buy, capturing the stock’s resilience near current price levels.

All major moving averages (MA5, MA20, MA50, and MA200) show clear buy signals, with Nvidia trading comfortably above its 20-day ($125.41), 50-day ($115.37), and 200-day ($126.45) averages. Critically, the stock exhibits robust technical support between $131.64 and $132.47, while its next resistance zones are $149.42 and the all-time high of $153.13. These well-defined levels, coupled with a consensus “Strong Buy” from technical analysts (14 bullish vs 5 neutral and 3 bearish signals), suggest the stock may be entering a new bullish phase, providing an appealing entry point for those seeking exposure to the AI and semiconductor sectors.

Short- and medium-term momentum remains decidedly positive, with healthy correction phases digested through consolidation before each new upward leg—characteristic of a growth stock in structural expansion.

Fundamental Analysis

Nvidia’s recent financial results highlight the company’s exceptional fundamentals:

• Revenue and Profit Growth: Q1 FY2026 saw revenues reach a record $44.1 billion, up 69% year-on-year and ahead of consensus. Adjusted EPS outpaced expectations, underscoring operational efficiency.
• Valuation: While Nvidia trades at a premium Price/Earnings ratio (PER) of 44.83, this is amply justified by its sector leadership, unique growth profile, and forecast ~40% revenue increase for 2025. Compared with lesser-growing peers, the PEG ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth) and Price/Sales multiples remain attractive for a global leader at the birthplace of a new technology cycle.
• Strategic Strengths:
• Innovation: Industry-leading R&D, rapid rollout of next-gen architectures (post-Hopper), and CUDA ecosystem dominance.
• Market Share: Unparalleled leadership in AI, data-centre GPUs, and a growing presence in automotive and edge computing.
• Brand Strength: Nvidia’s reputation and deep integration with hyperscale cloud, enterprise, and industrial clients create high switching costs and defend future revenues.

Such fundamentals signal that investor optimism is well supported by structural strengths and not mere market speculation.

Volume and Liquidity

Nvidia’s trading profile is underpinned by exceptional liquidity, with an average daily volume of over 370 million shares, representing deep institutional and retail engagement. This liquidity not only enhances price stability and reduces transaction costs for new buyers, but also signals ongoing high market confidence. The company’s float—24.39 billion shares outstanding with a free float sufficiently broad for dynamic (and global) inflows—enables the stock to serve as a strategic anchor in portfolios of any scale.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

The forward-looking narrative for Nvidia is especially compelling:

• Product Innovation: The imminent rollout of new, post-Hopper GPU architectures is set to further entrench Nvidia’s technological lead in AI hardware.
• AI and Data Centre Demand: As demand for AI compute accelerates—across sectors from finance and health care to gaming and autonomous mobility—Nvidia stands at the epicentre of the next digital revolution. Industry forecasts imply further top-line expansion well into the next decade.
• Strategic Partnerships: New alliances with global technology giants, hyperscalers, and system integrators—coupled with strong engagement with high-growth platforms like generative AI and Large Language Models—should fuel sustained demand for leading-edge chips.
• ESG Leadership and Resilience: Nvidia’s advanced ESG disclosures and energy-efficient architectures offer further appeal to an increasingly sustainability-focused investor base.

The overall context in 2025 remains exceptionally favourable for leading-edge technology companies, and Nvidia’s position as a value creator is strengthened by incremental AI use cases, regulatory tailwinds, and a reshoring of supply chains.

Investment Strategies

Nvidia’s technical and fundamental alignment makes it appealing across a range of investment horizons:

• Short-Term: For nimble traders, Nvidia sits on technically strong support near $131.64. The defined resistance cap ($153.13) provides a clear risk/reward setup. With substantial trading volumes and a visible catalyst calendar (given forthcoming product launches and earnings), tactical buyers could position ahead of anticipated bullish events.
• Medium-Term: Investors targeting growth over several quarters benefit from Nvidia’s sequential earnings growth, robust sectoral trends, and likely positive earnings surprises, particularly as AI investments compound. The anticipated revenue rise (+40% for 2025) further underpins medium-term exposure.
• Long-Term: For strategic allocators seeking exposure to the defining narrative of the digital era, Nvidia’s continued innovation, dominant share in secular growth markets (AI, data centre, automotive), and fortress balance sheet argue for a core portfolio position. The proximity to technical support and consensus analyst targets ($164.51, +21.3% upside) offers an appealing entry at current levels.

Overall, whether investors seek momentum trading, growth compounding, or long-duration innovation lethality, Nvidia’s profile aligns with a range of sophisticated portfolio objectives.

Is it the Right Time to Buy Nvidia?

In summary, Nvidia’s position as a global growth engine is firmly underpinned by exceptional financial performance, market leadership in AI hardware, continuous innovation, and strong investor confidence, as reflected by sustained trading volumes and positive analyst consensus. The current market environment—in which Nvidia is trading close to support, but still some way from recent highs—seems to represent an excellent opportunity for those looking to initiate or augment positions in a secular growth story.

The stock’s upward trajectory appears solidly anchored by its structural strengths, justified premium valuation, and a vivid outlook for the AI-driven transformation of global markets. For New Zealand investors seeking exposure to cutting-edge technology and global megatrends, the fundamentals justify renewed interest in Nvidia—as the company shows all the hallmarks of entering a fresh bullish phase, with dynamic catalysts on the horizon.

In the ever-evolving landscape of technology investing, few opportunities offer Nvidia’s potent mix of scale, innovation, financial solidity, and upside potential—qualities that merit close consideration for any forward-looking investor ready to embrace the next wave of digital growth.

How to buy Nvidia stock in New Zealand?

Buying Nvidia (NVDA) shares online is a straightforward and secure process for New Zealand investors when you use a regulated broker. You have two main options: you can buy Nvidia shares outright (called spot or cash buying), or gain exposure through Contracts for Difference (CFDs), offering more flexibility and leverage. Both methods can be managed entirely online with NZD-deposit brokers, ensuring accessibility and safety. Ready to take the next step? Discover a comprehensive broker comparison further down this page to help you choose the platform that matches your needs.

Spot Buying

Spot buying, or cash purchase, means you become a direct shareholder of Nvidia, owning actual shares listed on the US NASDAQ market. Using leading NZ-accessible brokers, you pay a fixed commission per order, typically around NZD $3–$10 per US stock trade.

Example: Spot Buying Calculation

If Nvidia is trading at $139.19 USD (about $223 NZD), investing NZD $1,000 (minus an average $5 broker fee) lets you buy around 4 Nvidia shares.
Gain scenario:
If Nvidia’s share price rises 10% to approximately $153.11 USD, your holding increases in value to NZD $1,100.
Result: That’s a $100 gross gain – a +10% return on your NZD $1,000 investment.

Trading via CFD

CFDs (Contracts for Difference) allow you to speculate on Nvidia's share price movements without owning the underlying shares. With CFDs, you can use leverage—for example, 5:1—which multiplies both potential gains and risks. Instead of a fixed commission, you’ll pay a spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and overnight financing fees if you hold positions for more than a day.

Example: CFD Trading Calculation

Let’s say you commit NZD $1,000 on Nvidia CFDs with 5x leverage, giving you exposure to $5,000 worth of shares.
Gain scenario:
If Nvidia’s share price climbs 8%, your CFD position returns 8% × 5 = 40%. That’s a $400 gain on your initial $1,000 stake (before fees).

Final Advice

Compare brokers’ fees, trading conditions, and platform features before investing, as costs and access to US markets can vary widely in New Zealand. The right choice—cash buying or CFDs—depends on your investment goals, risk appetite, and investment timeframe. For a detailed comparison of New Zealand-friendly brokers, scroll further down the page and find the one that aligns with your needs.

Our 7 tips for buying Nvidia stock

The latest news about Nvidia

Nvidia reported record Q1 FY2026 revenues, surpassing analyst expectations and reinforcing AI sector leadership. In its latest earnings release on May 28, 2025, Nvidia announced quarterly revenues of $44.1 billion, exceeding the anticipated $43.3 billion and marking a sequential increase of 12% and a year-over-year growth of 69%. The company's adjusted earnings per share also beat expectations, at $0.96 versus the $0.93 forecasted. These figures underscore Nvidia's continued dominance in the artificial intelligence and data center markets, highly relevant for New Zealand investors given local demand for advanced AI solutions in industries such as finance, logistics, and agriculture—a trend mirrored by increasing adoption of cloud and data centre services in the region.

Market optimism is high, with persistent technical “Strong Buy” signals and a consensus target implying further upside. Recent trading sessions saw Nvidia’s stock rise significantly, reaching a six-month high of $153.13 and closing at $139.19 as of May 30, 2025. Market consensus among analysts suggests a 21.3% upside to a target price of $164.51. Technical indicators, including the 5-, 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages, provide aligned buy signals, while a “Strong Buy” cluster from recognized platforms supports an overall bullish outlook. For New Zealand investors and managed funds, this continued positive sentiment reinforces confidence in Nvidia as a core holding within technology-focused global portfolios, already widely represented in the NZ Super Fund and various KiwiSaver schemes.

Nvidia’s global supply and partner strategy ensures relevance and accessibility to the New Zealand technology ecosystem. Despite global supply chain challenges, Nvidia has maintained strong relationships with key partners across Australasia, ensuring stable product distribution channels into the New Zealand market. Local IT integrators, research universities, and cloud service providers, such as Datacom and Spark, have direct access to Nvidia’s latest GPUs and AI accelerators, facilitating uptake in sectors prioritizing digital transformation. This presence not only strengthens regional technology capacity but also underpins continued demand for Nvidia’s solutions, supporting global growth forecasts.

Nvidia’s expansion into next-generation AI and chip architecture promises further innovation for New Zealand adopters. Looking ahead, Nvidia’s commitment to advancing post-Hopper architectures and generative AI platforms is expected to drive global performance and innovation. For New Zealand organizations, this means earlier access to cutting-edge technologies, supporting local R&D, smart infrastructure, and sustainable agri-tech initiatives—fields of national strategic priority. This pipeline of innovation points to continued relevance and opportunity for investors seeking exposure to global technological megatrends affecting New Zealand’s economic transformation.

The company's exposure to trade restrictions, including with China, is mitigated by overwhelming global demand for AI solutions. While Nvidia reported that sales in China have faced some pressure due to regulatory constraints, the global surge in AI-related demand has more than offset these regional impacts. For New Zealand’s open economy, which is itself navigating complex trade relationships and favoring diversified technology imports, Nvidia’s resilience in navigating regulatory environments underscores its ability to sustain revenue growth and deliver value to international shareholders, including those in New Zealand investment funds.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.