Should I Buy Liberty Media Stock in 2025? A Guide for New Zealand Investors

What is Liberty Media?

How much is the Liberty Media stock?

The price of Liberty Media stock is falling this week. As of now, Liberty Media (FWONA) trades at USD $87.35, with a 24-hour change of -0.18% and a decline of 2.10% over the past five days. The market capitalisation sits at $30.18 billion, with an average 3-month volume of 110,990 shares. No current P/E ratio is available due to negative earnings, and the stock pays no dividend. Beta stands at 0.79, suggesting relatively low volatility compared to the broader market. For NZ investors, this stock tends to offer stability but is not without its own risks amid ongoing industry developments.

Our complete analysis of the Liberty Media stock

Having conducted a systematic review of Liberty Media’s latest financial results and examined its share price dynamics over the past three years, we have synthesized a comprehensive analysis by triangulating rigorous financial indicators, technical patterns, macro market data, and sector peer benchmarking with our proprietary algorithms. Liberty Media’s transformation into a global motorsports powerhouse—particularly through its Formula One assets—has newly positioned it at the crossroads of sport, entertainment, and digital innovation. So, why might Liberty Media stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global sport-entertainment sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Liberty Media (NASDAQ: FWONA) enters mid-2025 on a distinctly positive trajectory, with its current share price at $87.35 USD—representing a robust +28.7% gain on a twelve-month basis. While the recent week saw a modest pullback (-2.1%), the stock has rebounded 6.56% over the past month and remains up nearly 4% over six months. This performance comfortably outpaces key entertainment and media indices, reflecting sustained global investor confidence.

Several recent events serve as bullish milestones:

• Appointment of Derek Chang as CEO in January 2025: Brings a strategic, innovation-led vision to the group.
• Ongoing strategic partnerships: Multi-year contract extensions with marquee Grands Prix (Belgium, Netherlands, China, Italy, Monaco) visibly fortify the F1 brand until at least 2031.
• Big-ticket sponsorships: Expansion of key sponsorship deals (e.g., Crypto.com through 2030) supports upward momentum in brand value and recurring revenue streams.
• Regulatory progress on MotoGP acquisition: Full European approval anticipated by end June 2025 could open a new, synergistic growth channel.
• Upcoming Disney partnership (starting 2026): Expected to unlock new avenues in content, fan engagement, and monetization.

Macroeconomically, the intensifying appetite for global sports entertainment—especially among US and Asian audiences—continues to benefit Liberty Media. Formula 1’s growing presence in these regions aligns well with evolving consumer demands and increasingly digital sports consumption patterns, providing an advantageous sectorial backdrop for the company.

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, Liberty Media’s price action reflects constructive, upward-biased momentum. Despite a “neutral” reading from aggregated oscillators and sentiment tools, deeper inspection reveals:

• RSI (14 days): 58.4
  Comfortably below traditional overbought thresholds, implying further room for upside without immediate exhaustion.
• MACD: 2.17
  While currently in mild sell territory, this may be interpreted as healthy consolidation after the recent strong run; momentum is primed to shift if price stabilizes above the $87–$88 range.
• Stochastic %K: 48.78
  Indicates neither overextension nor weakness, supporting a base-building scenario.

Crucially, all major moving averages (20, 50, 100, 200 days) denote sustained buy signals, with the share price consistently trading above these support lines:

The most recent price action places the current level just above pivotal support at $76.85 and with clear runway towards the next resistance at $90.85. This technical structure suggests an attractive risk/reward setup, with short- to medium-term momentum underpinned by broad institutional support.

Fundamental Analysis

Liberty Media’s underlying fundamentals validate and reinforce its bullish technical signature:

• Revenue Growth: FY2024 revenues reached $3.411 billion, up a healthy 6% year-over-year, paced by uninterrupted growth in race promotion, media rights, and sponsorships.
• Profitability Leverage: Adjusted EBITDA rose 9% to $791 million, with operating income surging 26% to $492 million—demonstrating scalability and prudent cost management despite sector inflation.
• Outperformance: The group beat analyst expectations for both revenue and profitability in Q4 2024, a pivotal factor in maintaining multi-analyst “overweight/buy” ratings.
• Business Model Strength:
• Exclusive commercial rights for the world’s premier motorsport series (F1), driving predictable, long-term contracts with broadcasters and venues.
• Diversified revenue mix — 29% race promotion, 33% media, 19% sponsorship—mitigates cyclicality while capturing multiple monetization pathways.
• Rising global brand equity, evidenced by 1.6 billion cumulative TV viewers and 97 million social media followers.

While the current price-to-earnings ratio is not applicable (negative result), Liberty Media’s rapid EBITDA and revenue expansion, together with its market dominance and unrivalled intellectual property, imply a justified, premium valuation in line with global media conglomerates.

Volume and Liquidity

Over the trailing three months, Liberty Media’s trading volume has averaged 110,990 shares per day for its Series A (FWONA) line, representing a healthy balance of liquidity relative to its 23.99 million shares outstanding and 22.64 million float. This profile demonstrates:

• Robust market depth: Sufficient liquidity for both institutional and sophisticated retail capital to enter and exit positions efficiently.
• Free float: A predominantly publicly held float provides an ideal environment for price discovery, dynamic valuation, and responsiveness to market and company-specific catalysts.
• Low beta (0.79): The stock shows lower volatility than the NASDAQ composite, making it an attractive counterbalance or core holding within sectorially focused portfolios—particularly relevant for NZ investors seeking US exposure with moderated risk profiles.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several imminent and medium-term catalysts are poised to deliver incremental upside for Liberty Media:

• 75th Formula 1 Anniversary in 2025: Anticipated surge in global media and sponsor activity as F1 leverages this milestone for unprecedented fan engagement and brand activation.
• US & Asian Expansion: Continued aggressive growth in key geographies with untapped consumer bases, reinforcing F1’s position as a truly global phenomenon.
• Completion of MotoGP Acquisition: Regulatory sign-off expected Q2/Q3 2025, potentially integrating MotoGP’s lucrative franchise under the Liberty umbrella, with significant cross-promotional and broadcast synergies.
• PE-backed Sponsorship Deals: Unmatched pipeline of blue-chip partners—recently the largest in F1 history—provides visibility and operational leverage.
• Innovative Media Partnerships: Disney tie-up (2026+) expected to catalyze new distribution models, from streaming to immersive digital experiences.
• Resilient Commercial Pipeline: Management confirms a robust outlook for multi-year contracts and new event launches, with recurring, highly visible revenue streams.

From a macro perspective, sports entertainment remains structurally favored amid rising live-event consumption and digital transformation—trends Liberty Media is well-positioned to capitalize on given its unique IP assets and recurring business.

Investment Strategies

Whether for short-, medium-, or long-term investors, Liberty Media presents distinctive entry and positioning opportunities:

• Short-term strategies
• Technically, the stock sits near its 20- and 50-day moving averages with strong support at $76.85, offering an appealing entry point for those seeking to capture upside momentum ahead of key news, such as the MotoGP approval or upcoming quarterly results.
• The current tight consolidation, combined with favourable analyst upgrades, supports tactical accumulation for event-driven investors.
• Medium-term outlook
• The 75th anniversary of F1 and the roll-out of Disney-linked content initiatives in 2026 provide a clear horizon of visibility for growth, with compelling analyst price targets ($103.69 consensus; up to $125) indicating attractive relative value versus current levels.
• Expansion in the US and Asia, plus integration of new sponsorships and media deals, offer strong catalysts for valuation rerating.
• Long-term perspectives
• Liberty Media’s structural strengths—monopoly on premier motorsports rights, scalable digital assets, and deep recurring revenue—present an appealing platform for durable compound growth.
• The company is well-placed to navigate cyclical headwinds given its diversified, global portfolio and prudent capital management.
• For NZ-based and Asia-Pacific investors, Liberty Media represents a gateway to long-term USD-denominated growth, with competitive insulation and global cultural relevance supporting decades-long investment themes.

Is it the Right Time to Buy Liberty Media?

In summary, Liberty Media stands out as a rare blend of defensiveness and dynamic upside, underpinned by:

• Steady double-digit annual share price growth and sector outperformance.
• Highly visible revenue and EBITDA expansion above industry medians.
• Strong technical posture, with sustained support, healthy momentum, and constructive moving average formation.
• Robust liquidity and float supporting efficient entry and exit.
• Multiple immediate and longer-term catalysts—anniversary, expansion, synergies, and monetization initiatives—setting the stage for renewed valuation acceleration.
• Management’s clear strategic roadmap, with analyst consensus implying a potential +17% upside from current levels.

With its unmatched market position, proven financial resilience, and accelerating global brand value, Liberty Media appears well-positioned to enter a new bullish phase in 2025 and beyond. For discerning investors seeking exposure to the crossroads of sport, entertainment, and digital growth, the fundamentals and market context justify renewed interest in Liberty Media as a high-conviction opportunity worthy of close consideration.

The next twelve months could well mark a defining period for Liberty Media, making this a particularly compelling time to re-examine its role in a modern, growth-focused portfolio.

How to buy Liberty Media stock in New Zealand?

Buying Liberty Media stock (NASDAQ: FWONA) online is both straightforward and secure for NZ-based investors, as long as you use a reputable broker regulated by Australian or global authorities. Investors typically choose between two main purchase methods: buying the shares outright (“spot” or “cash” buying), or trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) that allow you to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying shares. Both approaches can be done 100% online, from account opening through to order execution. Discover the strengths, fees, and conditions of each method below, along with a broker comparison further down the page to help you choose the right provider.

Spot buying

A cash purchase involves directly buying Liberty Media shares, making you a registered owner of the stock. With most NZ-friendly brokers, you can buy shares listed on the US NASDAQ exchange with just a few clicks. Brokerage fees are typically a small fixed commission per order—around NZD $5 to $10, depending on the platform.

Practical example

If the Liberty Media share price is USD $87.35 (approx. NZD $144), a NZD $1,000 investment (after a NZD $5 brokerage fee) lets you buy about 6 shares. If the share price rises by 10%, those shares would be worth NZD $1,100.
Result: That’s a gross gain of NZD $100, or +10% on your stake. You take direct ownership, with full exposure to gains (or losses) and eligible voting rights where applicable.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading allows you to speculate on Liberty Media’s share price without owning the actual shares. You enter a contract with your broker mirroring the price movements of the stock. CFD brokers generally charge a spread (the small difference between buy and sell price) and overnight financing fees if you hold positions for more than a day.

Example with leverage

With a NZD $1,000 deposit and 5x leverage, you gain exposure to NZD $5,000 worth of Liberty Media shares. Should the share price rise by 8%, your position value increases by 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: That’s a gross gain of NZD $400 (excluding spreads and fees) on your $1,000. Leveraged trading amplifies both potential profits and losses—caution is advised.

Final advice

Before investing in Liberty Media, take time to compare different brokers’ fee structures, market access, and tools to find the platform best suited to your needs. Broader investment goals, risk appetite, and your preference between direct ownership and leveraged speculation will inform your choice of method. For an in-depth comparison of the leading brokers for NZ investors, consult our comparison table lower on this page. Investing in global stocks is more accessible than ever—choose the approach that matches your strategy.

Our 7 tips for buying Liberty Media stock

The latest news about Liberty Media

Liberty Media’s Formula One Group has delivered strong 2024 results with revenue up 6% and EBITDA up 9% year-on-year. This robust financial performance, surpassing analyst expectations, reflects increased race count, elevated global attendance (6.5 million spectators, up 9%), and a record cumulative TV audience of 1.6 billion. These results are especially positive for New Zealand investors, given the global momentum of Formula 1 as a high-growth entertainment asset—and its rising popularity within NZ’s own sports audience and betting sectors, offering indirect economic uplift.

The stock’s technical outlook remains broadly neutral, but recent price action and analyst upgrades indicate mounting positive sentiment. Although technical oscillators are mixed, longer-term moving averages from 20 to 200 days are in “Buy” territory and the stock remains well above its pivotal support at $76.85. In the last month, FWONA has gained over 6.5%, and analysts at JPMorgan recently raised their price target to $108 per share, while consensus across 15 firms stands at $103.69—highlighting a potential upside of over 17%. This growing analyst confidence is reinforced by the company’s operational outperformance and strategic direction, both relevant for sophisticated NZ allocators.

Recent strategic developments include regulatory progress on the MotoGP acquisition, key partnership renewals, and leadership changes with a new CEO in 2025. Liberty Media has secured regulatory extension for the pivotal MotoGP acquisition to June 2025, positioning the firm for major portfolio expansion pending EU approval. Several circuit contracts were extended, notably in China and Europe, ensuring long-term revenue streams and media exposure. The company also announced a partnership extension with Crypto.com and a new Disney collaboration for 2026, both set to reinforce global brand presence—a factor supporting future Formula 1 content delivery, including to rights holders like Sky and Spark Sport in the NZ market.

Formula One is set for sustained growth driven by a strong sponsorship pipeline, geographic expansion, and the 75th anniversary celebrations in 2025. Management reports the most robust commercial pipeline in the sport’s history, with particular acceleration in US and Asian markets, regions of increasing relevance for NZ’s international investment exposure and motorsports cultural ties. The projected “brand momentum” from F1’s 75th anniversary is expected to stimulate fan and sponsor engagement, further elevating Liberty’s revenue prospects and potentially translating into enhanced shareholder value for NZ-based holders.

Liberty Media stock offers NZ investors exposure to high-quality, recurring global sports media revenues, supported by a dominant market position and positive analyst outlook. With no dividend currently paid, the value proposition lies in capital appreciation and exposure to secular trends in live entertainment, premium media rights, and global motorsport fandom. Multi-year contractual arrangements and geographic diversity mitigate regional-specific risks—of importance to NZ investors seeking global diversification. The substantial 12-month share gain (+28.7%), paired with upward analyst revisions, underscores continued confidence in Liberty’s ability to deliver attractive returns.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.