Should I buy Tesla stock in 2025? Complete Guide for NZ

What is Tesla?

How much is Tesla stock?

The price of Tesla stock is rising this week. As of now, Tesla is trading at USD $358.43, showing a 0.43% gain in the past 24 hours, though with a -5.10% change over the past week. The company’s market capitalization sits at a robust $1.15 trillion, with an average daily trading volume of 124.13 million over the last three months. Tesla’s P/E ratio is notably high at 197.11, the stock does not pay a dividend, and its beta stands at 2.00, reflecting significant price volatility. Such dynamics highlight both considerable potential and notable risk for NZ investors considering Tesla in their portfolios.

Our full analysis on Tesla stock

Having conducted a rigorous assessment of Tesla’s (TSLA) latest quarterly figures and carefully mapped its stock trajectory over the past three years, our proprietary analytics—powered by an integrated synthesis of technical, fundamental, and comparative peer datasets—identify pivotal inflection points for the company. By drawing on a rich array of market metrics and deep sectoral analysis, we seek to uncover why Tesla is not just a perennial disruptor but may be poised to reassert its role as a strategic entry point for exposure to the global technology and mobility revolution in 2025. Could Tesla’s convergence of autonomous technology, brand leadership, and robust technical momentum position it for a renewed era of outperformance in an increasingly electrified world?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Tesla’s share price has demonstrated remarkable volatility, a hallmark of its innovative but unpredictable sector. As of 29 May 2025, TSLA trades at $358.43, reflecting an intraday gain of 0.43%. While the stock has pulled back 5.1% over the past week and stands 27.1% lower over six months, the bigger picture underscores a dramatic resurgence—TSLA has doubled over the past year, delivering a 100.5% annual return even after significant interim swings. This sharp recovery is especially impactful when benchmarked against both the NASDAQ Composite and leading global automakers, where Tesla’s brand power and innovation pipeline remain unmatched.

Recent news flow has been noticeably favourable. Investors are digesting the impending launch of Tesla’s highly anticipated robotaxi service, scheduled for June 2025 in Austin, Texas. This milestone encapsulates Tesla’s accelerating pivot towards autonomous mobility and recurring service revenues. Compounding this, CEO Elon Musk has doubled down on his operational focus, stepping away from non-core external roles and reinforcing executive commitment at a crucial juncture.

Broader macroeconomic tailwinds, including sustained policy incentives for electrification and momentum in green infrastructure investment, further contribute to an environment supportive of premium valuations for leading innovators. For New Zealand investors seeking global technology growth exposure, Tesla’s sector leadership and dynamic recovery profile seem particularly compelling as electrification initiatives increasingly influence consumer preferences across key markets.

Technical Analysis

Tesla’s technical structure currently exhibits features strongly associated with the emergence of new bullish phases. The share price has recently sustained trades above its key 50-day moving average ($281.54), confirming underlying strength. Critical support has consolidated near $356.91, a level well-defended during the latest consolidation phase and now serving as a robust short-term floor. Immediate resistance sits at $362.89; a decisive close above this threshold could open the way to new multi-month highs and reinforce the uptrend.

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 67.29, the RSI signals the upper bound of neutral territory, suggesting elevated momentum but also hinting at short-term overbought conditions. This can attract tactical profit-taking, typically followed by new buying interest if support holds.
• MACD: Tesla’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) stands at 21.65, indicating a strong positive divergence and reaffirming accelerating upward momentum.
• Trend signals: The overall technical composite confirms a “very strong bullish trend” recognized by market participants, which is further validated by sustained higher lows and the resilience of key support zones.

Short- and medium-term momentum remain firmly constructive, and any retracement toward support levels could serve as advantageous entry points. For active investors monitoring technical inflection points, the present structure seems to favour gradual accumulation ahead of new catalysts.

Fundamental Analysis

Despite a profit margin compression and headline earnings miss in Q1 2025—when Tesla reported $19.34 billion in revenue (versus a $21.11 billion consensus) and a net profit of $409 million—the underlying structural story remains robust. While adjusted earnings per share ($0.27) fell below expectations, a period of strategic investment and model recalibration is not unexpected for a company engineering the next wave of mobility.

Tesla’s valuation commands a premium, with a forward P/E near 197—reflective not only of its earnings base but also market conviction in future cashflows from disruptive platforms. With a market cap now exceeding $1.15 trillion and a float of 2.8 billion shares, Tesla’s considerable scale amplifies the significance of its R&D edge and branding.

Key pillars of the fundamental thesis include:

• Leadership in Innovation: Tesla remains the global yardstick for electric vehicles and autonomous transit, integrating AI-driven software, high-performance batteries, and networked vehicle ecosystems. Recent announcements around Tesla’s robotaxi network, energy storage roll-outs, and rapid iteration on vehicle autonomy illustrate a first-mover advantage that peers are still striving to emulate.
• Unmatched Market Penetration: Tesla’s ability to maintain top EV market share while expanding its recurring services (software, insurance, energy storage) stabilizes its revenue base and supports margin resilience, even amid competitive industry cycles.
• Brand and Execution Dynamics: The Tesla brand is synonymous with innovation leadership, engendering exceptional consumer loyalty and premium pricing power—attributes particularly valued in an increasingly commoditized auto landscape.
• Strategic Expansion: The pivot toward scalable robotaxi fleets and high-value software subscriptions positions Tesla for unique leverage as mobility-as-a-service becomes a dominant paradigm, potentially opening lucrative new margin verticals.

While Tesla foregoes dividend payments in favor of reinvestment, this capital allocation underscores confidence in the return potential from next-generation ventures.

Volume and Liquidity

TSLA’s liquidity dynamics remain a core attraction for institutional and retail investors alike. With an average 65-day daily volume of 124 million shares, the stock regularly features among the most actively traded global equities. This high liquidity facilitates efficient price discovery and reflects widespread market confidence, ensuring that periods of tactical volatility often resolve into forceful moves in either direction.

The stock’s float (2.8 billion shares out of 3.22 billion outstanding) fosters a dynamic valuation environment, enabling rapid assimilation of news and facilitating active trading strategies. For New Zealand investors, accessibility and robust volume offer both flexibility and speed of execution, an essential consideration given time zone and cross-listing nuances.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several imminent and medium-term catalysts support a bullish view:

• Robotaxi Launch: The robotaxi rollout in June 2025 is a signature event, with first-mover status in commercial autonomous fleets potentially revolutionizing urban transport economics and service-driven revenues for Tesla.
• Leadership Focus: Elon Musk’s renewed singular focus, underlined by his recent departure from other public roles, is widely perceived as a strategic positive, likely to accelerate innovation throughput and execution discipline.
• Sustained Technological Advancement: Tesla’s continuous investment in battery technology, AI autonomy, and renewable integration secures its edge against incumbent and emerging competitors.
• Expansion of Energy and Storage Units: Beyond vehicles, Tesla’s growth trajectory in energy storage and distributed solar solutions offers optionality and resilience, leveraging global decarbonization drives and grid modernization programs.
• Favourable Regulatory and Consumer Trends: Globally, regulatory landscapes are accelerating phaseouts of internal combustion engines, while consumer appetite for clean, automated mobility keeps expanding. Tesla’s sectoral visibility and lobbying influence place it at the epicenter of this secular shift.
• Market Sentiment: The market remains optimistic, with announcements and product unveilings frequently triggering substantial trading interest and price responses. Potential index reweightings, ETF flows, and sentiment from the technology sector as a whole act as reinforcing tailwinds.

Investment Strategies

Tesla’s current set-up invites disciplined strategies for different investor horizons:

• Short-term positioning may appeal to traders seeking to capitalize on momentum toward the $362.89 resistance, or on any pullbacks to strong support ($356.91 or the 50-day moving average near $281.54) for tactical entries. Volume spikes around the robotaxi launch could serve as a volatility catalyst.
• Medium-term investors might overweight positions ahead of the robotaxi launch and follow-through innovation announcements—potentially capturing price appreciation into year-end as positive adoption data emerges.
• Long-term holders are arguably best placed to benefit from Tesla’s multi-year platform expansion, its ongoing international scale-up, and the compounding effect of leadership in high-margin software, energy, and autonomous vehicle domains. Accumulating on technical retracements, especially when major product milestones are imminent, has historically delivered attractive risk-adjusted returns.

For all strategies, prudent position sizing and dynamic risk management are recommended, given Tesla’s higher-than-average volatility (beta of 2.00).

Is It the Right Time to Buy Tesla?

Tesla consistently demonstrates its capacity to redefine mobility, energy, and technology landscapes through relentless innovation and visionary management. Today, with its share price consolidating above strong technical support thresholds, and amid a period of renewed executive focus and transformational initiatives, the stock’s resilience and growth prospects once again justify renewed attention.

The imminent launch of its robotaxi network is a tangible, near-term catalyst that may mark the beginning of a new chapter in autonomous mobility—and by extension, in the narrative of Tesla as a tech ecosystem leader. High liquidity, robust brand equity, and a diversified roadmap across vehicles, software, and energy, all reinforce the stock’s breadth of opportunity.

For New Zealand investors seeking exposure to the vanguard of global electrification, artificial intelligence, and next-generation mobility, Tesla seems to represent an excellent opportunity at a potentially pivotal moment. The positive technical underpinnings, structural strengths, and upcoming catalysts—particularly in the context of long-term sectoral tailwinds—suggest that TSLA could be entering a new bullish phase well worth considering.

In a landscape increasingly shaped by innovation, disruptive business models, and sustainability, Tesla stands out as a stock whose momentum and conviction deserve careful, ongoing attention.

How to buy Tesla stock in New Zealand?

Buying shares in Tesla has never been more accessible for New Zealanders. Thanks to regulated online brokers, investing is now both simple and secure—your funds are protected by top-tier financial standards. Whether you want to own Tesla shares directly (“spot” buying) or trade short-term price movements through CFDs (Contracts for Difference), the process can be completed online from your preferred device. Each method carries its own benefits. To find the right broker and method for you, see our detailed broker comparison further down this page.

Spot Buying

A cash (spot) purchase means you are buying actual Tesla shares, becoming a shareholder with voting rights and direct exposure to price movements. Most brokers charge a fixed commission fee per trade—typically around NZ$5 to NZ$10 per order.

Important information

Example:
If Tesla shares are priced at US$358.43 (approx. NZ$582) and you start with NZ$1,000, you could buy about 1.7 Tesla shares after accounting for a NZ$5 brokerage fee.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If Tesla’s share price rises by 10%, your holding is now worth NZ$1,100.
Result: That’s a NZ$100 gross gain, or +10% on your original investment.

Trading via CFD

CFDs let you trade on Tesla’s share price movements without actually owning the shares. You can use leverage—amplifying your exposure with a smaller upfront deposit. Fees here typically include the spread (the buy-sell price gap) and an overnight financing charge if you hold positions for more than a day.

Important information

Example:
You invest NZ$1,000 in a Tesla CFD with 5× leverage, controlling NZ$5,000 of value.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If Tesla’s price increases by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: That’s a NZ$400 gain on your NZ$1,000 stake (excluding any fees).

Final Advice

Before investing your hard-earned money, compare brokers’ fee structures, minimum investment amounts, and available features—these can vary considerably. Your ideal method will depend on your financial goals and risk tolerance: long-term investors may prefer direct share ownership, while more active traders could find flexibility in CFDs. To make an informed decision, check out our broker comparison table below.

Our 7 tips for buying Tesla stock

The latest news about Tesla

Tesla confirms launch of its robotaxi service in Austin for June 12, 2025, marking a milestone in autonomous vehicles. This development is a major catalyst for market sentiment, reflecting Tesla's unique leadership in autonomous mobility. Although the initial rollout is U.S.-based, the technological progress is expected to drive long-term value, and the announcement may inspire regulatory and business conversations in New Zealand, where the government has shown growing interest in advanced mobility and EV infrastructure. Tesla's move reinforces its image as a first-mover, a positive signal for global investors including the NZ institutional sector.

Tesla stock demonstrates strong bullish technical momentum, with positive signals confirmed by MACD and RSI indicators. As of 29 May 2025, momentum indicators show that Tesla shares are in a very strong uptrend, with a 14-day RSI at 67.29 and a substantially positive MACD, though the RSI is approaching overbought territory, advising some short-term caution. Despite a modest intraday gain and a weekly drawdown, annual returns have exceeded 100%, reinforcing confidence among analyst circles in New Zealand who follow U.S.-listed innovators for their clients’ growth portfolios.

Elon Musk's renewed focus on Tesla after stepping down from unrelated roles boosts confidence in the company's innovation trajectory. Within the last week, official disclosures confirmed that Musk has left his seat at the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency to concentrate fully on Tesla's operational and strategic pivots. This refocus is regarded as a constructive and stabilizing message, likely to resonate positively with New Zealand investors and funds, where Musk’s personal leadership is closely tracked and viewed as a bellwether for Tesla’s innovation output.

Tesla’s global market position and continued innovation strengthen its appeal for institutional investors in New Zealand’s ESG and growth sectors. The company’s integrated ecosystem—spanning EVs, energy storage, and cutting-edge software—remains a decisive advantage, and its status as an ESG-aligned leader is particularly significant for NZ superannuation funds and Kiwisaver schemes seeking exposure to transformative global equities. Tesla’s expansion in autonomous mobility and energy solutions aligns well with green investment strategies widely adopted throughout New Zealand.

Market optimism persists despite recent financial underperformance, supported by constructive longer-term catalysts. While Q1 2025 results showed revenue and net income well below expectations, the market’s reaction has been moderately positive, focusing instead on forward-looking milestones such as the robotaxi launch, continued software and production advances, and growing energy service revenues. New Zealand analysts note that Tesla’s high volatility is balanced by its potential for outsized returns, making it a popular inclusion on NZ-based international share trading platforms and professionally managed global portfolios.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.