Should You Buy The Graph in 2025?

Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of The Graph cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, thousands of users across New Zealand trust us to decode market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased The Graph nor received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

The Graph in brief

How much does 1 The Graph cost?

The price of The Graph is up this week. As of today, GRT is trading at approximately NZ$0.151, showing a positive 24-hour change of about +3.7% and a 0.3% gain over the past week. Its market capitalisation stands near NZ$1.47 billion, with an average daily trading volume of NZ$53 million over the last three months. The Graph ranks between 76th and 106th among global cryptocurrencies, with roughly 9.7 billion GRT in circulation and a market dominance of about 0.08%.

Given these dynamics, investors should note that while GRT shows ongoing development and adoption, its price remains highly volatile, offering both risks and opportunities.

Our complete review of the cryptocurrency The Graph

Have investors overlooked a strategic inflection point in the evolution of The Graph (GRT) across the past three years? After an extensive review of recent price action, on-chain flows and technical structure, our proprietary algorithms have synthesized a blend of competitive positioning and fundamental momentum for this decentralized Web3 protocol. So, why might The Graph re-emerge as a key entry point for blockchain data infrastructure exposure going into 2025 and beyond?

Performance and Market Context

Recent Price Action

The Graph’s price as of June 2025 stands at $0.093 USD, having rebounded with a +68.4% gain over the last 6 months, despite enduring a steep -68.47% retracement year-on-year. This volatility reflects a broader rotation across altcoins but underlines persistent liquidity and trader engagement. Volume remains substantial, with $31.8–33.4 million USD exchanged daily, highlighting continued market confidence and the asset’s accessibility for both retail and institutional profiles in New Zealand and globally.

Positive Drivers and Events

• Beta launch of the Token API—opening multi-chain token data streams.
• Substreams mainnet deployment—delivering high-performance indexing for next-generation dApps.
• Introduction of Indexer Score metrics and streamlined governance (GIP-0061)—fostering both trust and efficiency.
• Strategic integration with Chainlink (CCIP) and partnerships such as Wonderland—expanding the network’s developer base and cross-chain relevance.

Broader Crypto and Macro Tailwinds

• Renewed institutional interest in data, AI, and decentralization themes.
• Structural adoption trends ignited by DeFi and NFT sector innovation.
• A global shift towards multi-chain architectures, reinforcing the demand for robust, permissionless data indexing that The Graph uniquely addresses.

Technical Analysis

Trend and Momentum

Indicative metrics convey a technical reset—potentially positioning The Graph for an outsized rebound:

• RSI (14-day): 38.7–42.2 (neutral, nearing reversal territory)
• MACD: -0.0040 (bearish, but flattening slope signals)
• Support Zones: $0.0869, $0.0843, $0.0814 (historically defended by buyers)
• Resistance Levels: $0.0925, $0.0954, $0.0981 (first breakout targets)

Despite most moving averages (20/50/100/200-day SMA) sitting above spot price and indicating caution over the short term, the heavily oversold structure mirrors historical pockets of opportunity prior to previous multi-month rallies. Volume resilience suggests a possible exhaustion of downward pressure, with cluster liquidity at current support zones providing a strong technical case for a medium-term bullish reversal.

Structure for Rebound

• Technical structure has entered a zone where past capitulations have led to sharp trend reversals.
• The relative stability of the 24h and 7-day change signals a base-building phase, historically a precursor to renewed capital inflows.
• Given the confluence of strong support and unmistakable oversold conditions, GRT is approaching a level where risk/reward is notably skewed in favor of early repositioning.

Fundamental Analysis

Ecosystem Growth and Adoption

• Record 6.14 billion queries processed (Q1 2025), a sign of robust organic demand.
• Active subgraphs at new highs (12,402, +9.8% QoQ) foster developer stickiness and network effects.
• New subgraph deployments (1,143 in Q1) signal enduring ecosystem expansion—a key differentiator in a competitive vertical.

Strategic Partnerships and Technological Innovation

• Chainlink CCIP integration: A watershed for GRT’s interoperability, vital to large-scale institutional and enterprise adoption.
• Wonderland core dev team addition: Further diversifies and strengthens protocol development and deployment.
• Substreams technology: Offers unparalleled data indexing throughput, answering demand curves for performance and scalability in DeFi, NFTs, and beyond.

Valuation and Market Position

• Market capitalization of ~$900 million USD combined with top-100 ranking places GRT in a resilient position to benefit from sectoral rotations.
• Highly attractive FDV relative to addressable market size, especially considering its first-mover advantage in decentralized indexing.
• Circulating supply is now near full emission, capping future supply dilution.
• Staking APY (~3%) offers an income stream and incentivizes user retention, vital for protocol health and network security.

Volume, Liquidity, and Positioning

• Consistent 8-figure daily volume underpins ease-of-entry and institutional-grade liquidity.
• Dominant role in blockchain data indexing cements its status as a foundational protocol, with minimal direct decentralized competition.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook Triggers

• Planned launches and network upgrades timed for the coming quarters could unlock new user segments.
• AI and enterprise data demand is growing rapidly—The Graph’s core value proposition is directly aligned with this emerging macro theme.
• Geographic and network expansion places GRT at the centre of the multi-chain data universe, reinforcing its irreplaceability.
• Staking and protocol governance: Regular upgrades and community-driven evolution keep The Graph agile and responsive to changing market requirements.

Investment Strategies by Horizon

Short-Term Perspective (weeks–months)

• Entry on technical retrace towards major support ($0.0869–$0.0890) may provide asymmetric upside.
• Imminent technical inflection often sees sharp price action, especially as market sentiment pivots from bearish to neutral.
• Short-term catalyst: Newsflow on protocol upgrades or integration outcomes.

Medium-Term Outlook (months–1 year)

• Positioning ahead of planned Chainlink CCIP integration or Substreams network effect acceleration leverages likely step changes in usage.
• Accumulation during basing phases is often rewarded as fundamentals resurface and capital rotation returns to infrastructure tokens.
• Monitoring network growth metrics (subgraph deployment, query volume) offers clarity on adoption curve and protocol “stickiness.”

Long-Term View (multiple years)

• Secular tailwinds in AI, decentralized data, and Web3 infrastructure support high-conviction allocation.
• Network effects and technological leadership combine to deliver defensibility versus new entrants.
• Holding through protocol upgrades and expansion cycles captures both yield and capital appreciation potential, particularly given the capped supply and inflation rate control.

The Graph Price Projections

Is Now the Right Time to Consider The Graph?

The Graph presents a rare combination of undervaluation, deep network effects, and tangible adoption momentum, positioning it as a prime candidate for renewed investor attention. Key strengths include a resilient multi-billion-dollar ecosystem, steady developer growth, record usage demand, and strategic technology integrations poised to unlock the next phase of protocol value. Projections suggest significant upside over the next cycles, especially as macro and sectoral flows rotate back to core infrastructure assets.

For those seeking scalable exposure to blockchain data and indexing, The Graph stands out as a protocol whose fundamentals justify a fresh look. The confluence of technical setup, rapidly expanding real-world adoption, and approaching catalyst events suggest that GRT could well initiate a new bullish phase for investors willing to position ahead of the curve.

The Graph remains a high-volatility, high-conviction asset, offering outsized potential for dynamic participants prepared to monitor key macro and project-specific inflection points. Technical levels to watch remain $0.0869 as a critical support foundation and $0.0954–0.0981 as the initial hurdles for broader upside. Upcoming protocol releases throughout late 2025 look set to provide concrete triggers for price discovery and market rotation. In this context, The Graph deserves close attention from forward-looking investors intent on capturing the next wave of blockchain infrastructure growth.

How to buy The Graph?

It’s easy and secure to buy The Graph (GRT) online through a regulated cryptocurrency platform—these ensure your funds and personal data are protected. As a retail investor in New Zealand, you’ll typically choose between two main methods: spot buying (where you own the GRT tokens directly) or trading via crypto CFDs (Contracts for Difference), allowing you to speculate on price changes without owning the asset. Each approach has its own characteristics, suitable for different objectives and risk profiles. For a detailed comparison of the top platforms available in New Zealand, see the section further down this page.

Spot Purchase

A spot purchase means you buy actual GRT tokens, which are then stored securely in your personal crypto wallet (either on the exchange or in a private wallet). This method makes you the direct owner of the coins, giving you full control. Fees typically include a flat commission per transaction, usually ranging from 0.10% to 1.5%, and are paid in NZD.

Important example

Example:
If The Graph is priced at $0.0930 USD (about $0.152 NZD as of June 2025), your $1,000 NZD would let you acquire around 6,570 GRT tokens (after deducting approximately $10 NZD in transaction fees).

✔️ Potential scenario:
If the price rises by 10%, your holding is now worth $1,100 NZD.
Result: +$100 NZD gross gain, or +10% on your initial investment.

Trading via CFD

Trading GRT via CFDs means you don’t actually own the tokens. Instead, you speculate on their price movement—profit or loss depends on how the price evolves. This method allows the use of leverage, often up to 5x, but also involves additional risks. Common fees include the spread (the difference between buy/sell prices) and overnight financing costs if you keep your position open for more than one day.

Important example

Example:
You open a CFD trade on The Graph with $1,000 NZD and apply a 5x leverage.
Your market exposure is $5,000 NZD.

✔️ Potential scenario:
If The Graph’s price increases by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: +$400 NZD gain on your $1,000 NZD margin (excluding fees).

Final Advice

Before investing, always compare the fees, payment methods, and security offered by different platforms. Spot buying and CFDs serve different goals: spot is ideal for long-term holders, while CFDs may suit more experienced traders seeking short-term opportunities. Your choice should match both your investment objectives and your experience level. Don’t forget to review our NZ crypto platform comparison further down the page to find the best fit for you.

Our 7 tips for buying The Graph

The latest news from The Graph

The Graph recorded its highest-ever network query volume in Q1 2025, illustrating strong fundamental demand growth. The protocol processed 6.14 billion queries in the first quarter of 2025, up 3.2% compared to the previous quarter, while maintaining an active expansion of its subgraph ecosystem (+9.8% QoQ), a sign of strengthening utility and interest among developers globally. For New Zealand investors and professionals, this robust usage underscores the platform’s value proposition as a decentralized data indexing standard—key for DeFi and Web3 analytics—especially as local fintech and blockchain projects increasingly seek scalable, censorship-resistant infrastructure.

The Graph continues expanding through high-impact partnerships and multi-chain integrations, broadening both geographic and technical scope. In the past week, the project confirmed ongoing integration efforts with Chainlink's CCIP (Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol), paving the way for GRT to be transferred and utilized seamlessly across multiple blockchains. With the launch of 12+ network integrations—including next-generation chains like ZKsync Era and Sonic—The Graph is reinforcing its position as a top infrastructure provider for international markets, including Australasia; this strategic move aligns with New Zealand’s growing appetite for interoperable blockchain solutions and could facilitate increased institutional and developer adoption in the country.

Despite near-term bearish technical signals, The Graph’s six-month price remained up 68%, hinting at long-term recovery potential. While overall technical sentiment is currently bearish—reflected in most technical indicators issuing “sell” signals—the asset posted a modest 0.3% gain over the past week and a strong multi-month recovery from prior lows. For New Zealand-based traders, this price resilience, combined with robust network activity, suggests possible upside if the market’s risk appetite returns, especially given the project's forecast upside of up to 182% for 2025 according to consensus analyst predictions.

Technical innovation and governance streamlining efforts have accelerated, further establishing The Graph’s competitive edge. Recent milestones such as the launch of the Token API Beta and Substreams on the decentralized network, along with the debut of an Indexer Score metric and the adoption of GIP-0061 to reduce governance friction, indicate a focus on usability, performance and decentralization. For New Zealand’s increasingly active Web3 and blockchain industry, these developments represent a strengthening ecosystem and operational maturity, reinforcing confidence among enterprises seeking reliable infrastructure for emerging decentralized applications.

Staking and delegation opportunities remain attractive, with GRT available on major exchanges accessible from New Zealand and offering ~3% reward rates. Local investors benefit from the token’s broad exchange availability—including on global platforms servicing NZ users—and its straightforward staking process, which supports both active and passive network participation. Staking rewards and regulatory treatment of crypto assets as property under New Zealand law provide additional clarity for institutional and individual participants, supporting constructive engagement and potential yield enhancement within diversified crypto portfolios.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.