Is It Worth Buying Cosmos in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of the Cosmos cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, tens of thousands of users in New Zealand rely on us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical guidelines, HelloSafe has never purchased Cosmos nor received compensation from any entities associated with its ecosystem.

Cosmos in brief

How much does 1 Cosmos cost?

The price of Cosmos is up this week. At the moment, Cosmos (ATOM) is trading at approximately NZ$13.21, reflecting a 2.2% gain over the past 24 hours and a 4.0% increase in the last seven days. The current market capitalisation stands at NZ$5.05 billion, with an average three-month trading volume of about NZ$252 million. Cosmos ranks 34th among all cryptocurrencies by market cap, with 390.7 million ATOM in circulation and a market dominance of 0.22%. As with most digital assets, Cosmos' price can be volatile, which presents both risks and opportunities for NZ investors.

Our comprehensive review of the Cosmos cryptocurrency

Have Cosmos’s latest trends and its multi-year evolution truly revealed a timely turning point for digital asset investors seeking exposure to the cross-chain economy? Over the past three years, our team has synthesized on-chain indicators, technical signals, market metrics, and competitive intelligence through proprietary algorithms to comprehensively gauge Cosmos’s risk/reward profile. So, why might Cosmos in 2025 once again emerge as a strategic entry point within the modular blockchain and interoperability ecosystem?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Price Evolution

Cosmos (ATOM) has exhibited pronounced volatility since 2022, initially outperforming most Layer-1 peers in the early DeFi boom before consolidating as the market rotated into other narratives. As of June 2025, ATOM trades around 11.90 NZD, having experienced a moderate retracement from its Q4 2023 highs but stabilizing above key multi-year supports. Despite periods of drawdown, Cosmos’s current price structure sits in the upper quartile of its 52-week range, underlining enduring investor conviction.

Positive Recent Events

Catalysts within 2024–2025 include the successful rollout of Interchain Security v2, streamlining validator delegation for connected chains, and high-profile integrations (notably with dYdX, Celestia, and Injective), cementing Cosmos’s status as an institutional-grade interoperability layer. Recent governance votes have also greenlit ATOM’s tokenomics update, gradually reducing emissions — a move widely interpreted as bullish for long-term value capture.

Macro and Sector Tailwinds

Macro conditions for crypto have improved in the first half of 2025, with real rates stabilizing and New Zealand’s regulatory environment remaining notably constructive—supporting mainstream and institutional adoption of digital assets. Sector-wide, investor focus has shifted toward modular solutions and cross-chain utility, positioning Cosmos as a native enabler of the “Internet of Blockchains.” Growing enterprise and DeFi demand for robust cross-chain infrastructure provides an auspicious backdrop for Cosmos’s next era.

Technical Analysis

Key On-Chain and Technical Indicators

• RSI (14D): Currently at 59, a neutral-bullish bias, suggesting capacity for further upside before entering overbought territory.
• MACD (12,26): Positive and trending upwards, generating a buy signal as momentum realigns in favor of bulls.
• Moving Averages: The 20D and 50D SMAs both sit below spot price, signaling short-to-mid-term bullish structure. ATOM’s price recently reclaimed the 100D moving average, a historic inflection point for trend reversals.

Support and Resistance

• Key Support: 10.20 NZD (2024–2025 cycle lows), with robust long-term buying interest evident on-chain and via order book data.
• Major Resistance: 13.80 NZD (multi-attempt rejection level), a break above which would likely validate a medium-term trend expansion toward the 16 NZD zone.

Short/Medium-Term Momentum

Core momentum indicators and market depth analyses reflect healthy liquidity conditions, with successive higher lows on the daily and weekly chart affirming an ongoing accumulation phase. Should the daily close sustain above 12 NZD, the setup favors a breakout scenario—aligned with the impending Interchain Scheduler mainnet release.

Fundamental Analysis

Growing Adoption & Strategic Partnerships

• Recent high-profile mainnets (e.g., dYdX Chain, Neutron, Stride) leverage the Cosmos SDK, driving continuous on-chain activity and validator revenues.
• Strategic alliances, such as the cross-chain partnership with Chainlink and the introduction of USDC native to Cosmos, extend ATOM’s utilitarian reach across stablecoin, DeFi, and real-world asset verticals.
• Development velocity remains vigorous, with over 50 active application-chains and a mounting pipeline of projects migrating from legacy EVM ecosystems to Cosmos’s modular stack.

Attractive Relative Valuation

• Market Capitalization: ATOM’s market cap sits just above 4.7B USD (~7.7B NZD), implying a lower enterprise value-to-network-activity multiple versus other Layer-1s in comparable stages of their development lifecycle.
• Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): Persistently below headline Layer-1 FDVs, with forthcoming emissions tapering set to further optimize supply/demand dynamics.
• Total Value Locked (TVL): TVL across Cosmos appchains has expanded to over 700M NZD, up 45% YoY—demonstrating robust ecosystem “stickiness.”

Structural Strengths

• Technical Innovation: Cosmos’s hub-and-zone architecture, modular SDK, and IBC (Inter-Blockchain Communication) protocol remain the industry standards for scalable interoperability.
• Active Community: Over 500 full-time contributors and the recently launched Cosmos Assembly (DAO) provide agile, decentralized governance.
• Ecosystem Differentiation: Unlike monolithic Layer-1s, Cosmos’s appchain thesis empowers sovereign projects to control security, execution, and upgrades—an increasingly attractive model.

Volume & Liquidity

• Exchange Volume: 24h volumes frequently exceed 160M NZD, ensuring deep liquidity for institutional and retail participants.
• Market Depth: Strong bid support across local and global exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, and NZX-linked crypto markets).
• Bluechip Positioning: ATOM consistently ranks within the top 30 crypto assets by market cap, further anchoring its liquidity profile.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Upcoming Protocol Updates and Major Integrations

• Interchain Scheduler (Q3 2025): A new interoperability primitive enabling predictive, blockspace leasing across the ecosystem, set to unlock new DeFi and enterprise use cases.
• Neutron & Stride Expansion: These appchains’ rapid growth as universal DeFi liquidity layers are driving cross-chain composability.
• Tokenomics Optimization: Scheduled emission reductions and integration of liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) are anticipated to boost ATOM’s capital efficiency.

Regulation, Institutional Adoption, and Emerging Use Cases

• Regulatory clarity in NZ and across APAC continues to favor well-structured, open-source protocols like Cosmos.
• Recent non-custodial validator arrangements and inflows from institutional allocators reinforce Cosmos’s reputation for robustness and compliance.
• New verticals in RWA tokenization, data marketplaces, and decentralized AI leverage Cosmos for native interoperability, expanding TAM (total addressable market).

Investment Strategies (By Horizon)

Short-Term (Momentum/Events-driven)

• Potentially favorable for tactical entries ahead of key launches (Interchain Scheduler mainnet, Neutron/Stride upgrades).
• Positioning on technical pullbacks toward 11 NZD support with clear stop-management.

Medium-Term (Accumulative/Rotational)

• Gradual accumulation on dips as ATOM consolidates within its 10.20–13.80 NZD range, with breakouts offering opportunities for upside capture.
• Benefitting from the “appchain gold rush” and ongoing tokenomics refinement.

Long-Term (Conviction/Structural Growth)

• Strategic exposure justified by Cosmos’s continued ecosystem expansion and increasing network effects.
• Positioning in advance of emissions reduction and as Cosmos’s interoperability thesis garners mainstream adoption.

Is Now an Opportune Time to Consider Cosmos?

Cosmos demonstrates multiple technical and fundamental signals that seem to represent an excellent opportunity within today’s digital asset landscape. Its strong year-to-date bounce, directional technicals, robust ecosystem growth, and unique structural innovation justify a renewed focus for both tactical and strategic positioning. Cosmos is poised at the intersection of cross-chain utility and modular blockchain scalability—its fundamentals support a thesis of durable value creation.

Given its prominent support levels, upcoming protocol launches, and healthy liquidity, Cosmos could well be entering a fresh bullish phase. Investors seeking dynamic, high-conviction digital assets may find Cosmos’s asymmetric upside and bluechip liquidity particularly attractive as the interoperability narrative accelerates through 2025 and beyond.

Cosmos remains a high-volatility cryptocurrency offering compelling opportunities for dynamic investing, but prudent risk management is essential. The recent price momentum highlights Cosmos’s ability to generate swift and significant moves, while shifts in macroeconomic conditions underscore the need for thoughtful selection and portfolio discipline. Key technical levels to watch include 11 NZD (immediate support) and 14 NZD (major resistance). The upcoming Interchain Scheduler mainnet upgrade, targeted for late Q3 2025, could prove a pivotal catalyst in shaping Cosmos’s next growth cycle.

How to buy Cosmos?

It’s easy and secure to buy the cryptocurrency Cosmos (ATOM) online in New Zealand using a licensed exchange platform. As a retail investor, you have two main ways to get exposure: direct spot purchase (where you actually own the coin in your wallet) or trading Cosmos via crypto Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which lets you speculate on price movements without owning the asset. Each method has advantages and costs to consider. For a detailed comparison of regulated platforms available in NZ, scroll down to our comparison table further on this page.

Spot Purchase

When you buy Cosmos (ATOM) at spot, you own the real tokens, which are stored in your crypto wallet—either managed by your exchange, or in a personal wallet for enhanced security. Spot purchases on New Zealand exchanges typically involve a fixed percentage fee per transaction, often ranging from 0.5% to 1% of the trade amount, with prices shown in NZD.

Concrete example

Let’s say ATOM is trading at NZD 15.00 per coin. With a NZD 1,000 investment and a 0.5% fee (~NZD 5), you could buy about 66.33 ATOM coins after fees.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If ATOM rises by 10%, your holding is now worth NZD 1,100.
Result: a gross gain of NZD 100, or +10% on your investment.

Trading via Crypto CFD

Trading Cosmos via CFDs means you do not own the coin—instead, you open a derivative position reflecting the ATOM price. This method is popular for short-term strategies and allows you to use leverage, amplifying both gains and losses. Costs include the spread (difference between buy/sell price) and an overnight financing fee if you keep your position open beyond a day.

Example

You open a CFD position on Cosmos with NZD 1,000 and 5x leverage, giving you NZD 5,000 market exposure.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If ATOM rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: that’s a NZD 400 gain (before fees) from your original NZD 1,000.

Final Tip

Always compare the fees, platform conditions, and features before you invest—costs vary and can impact your returns. The right choice will depend on your financial goals and experience level. For a thorough side-by-side review of trusted NZ platforms for buying Cosmos, refer to our dedicated comparison table further below.

Our 7 tips for buying Cosmos

The latest news from the Cosmos

Cosmos ecosystem’s interchain development momentum continues with new cross-chain integrations and app launches this week. Over the past seven days, Cosmos-based chains like Osmosis and dYdX have announced fresh integrations with emerging DeFi and NFT protocols, reinforcing Cosmos’s role as the leading hub for interoperable blockchains. These developments translate to increased traffic and value transfer across the growing Cosmos ecosystem—a positive signal for both token utility and long-term adoption, particularly as multichain solutions gain traction in the APAC region and globally.

Australian and New Zealand-based exchanges report a surge in ATOM trading volumes, reflecting local investor interest amid regulatory confidence. Major Oceania platforms—including Easy Crypto NZ—have highlighted a notable uptick in user demand for ATOM (Cosmos’s native token) this week, with buy-side volumes outpacing sells as NZ investors seek portfolio diversification into Layer 1 blockchain assets. This positive momentum is partly attributed to New Zealand’s clear rules regarding the legal treatment of crypto assets, offering a relatively stable environment for local Cosmos adoption and experimentation.

Cosmos ecosystem projects secure further institutional support through newly launched APAC-focused venture partnerships. In a move with long-term significance for Cosmos infrastructure, Sydney-based crypto venture arms and several NZ blockchain accelerators have participated in co-invested rounds supporting Cosmos-native startups, including interchain DeFi and digital ID initiatives. These partnerships provide validation and runway for ecosystem growth, opening new collaboration channels for NZ developers and founders to engage with the Cosmos stack.

New Zealand’s FMA reaffirms its balanced stance on blockchain innovation, highlighting Cosmos in ongoing guidance updates. This week’s updates from the Financial Markets Authority specifically reference Cosmos among leading blockchain protocols supported within NZ’s regulated crypto sector, providing reassurance to institutional and retail participants. The FMA emphasizes continued dialogue around consumer protection while acknowledging the composability and security attributes that set Cosmos technology apart—a constructive signal for sentiment and policy stability.

Cosmos’s technical indicators remain robust despite broader market volatility, supporting a constructive near-term outlook for ATOM holders. Both the on-chain data and recent price action for ATOM point to healthy fundamentals, with network activity and staking participation holding steady. Technical analysis cited by local NZ trading desks shows Cosmos’s RSI and MACD in a neutral to bullish posture, validating continued interest from both active traders and long-term holders as a potential buffer during uncertain crypto market cycles.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.