- What are the most promising commodities in 2025?
- Which commodities to choose based on your investor profile?
- How to buy commodities in New Zealand?
- 5 Tips for Buying Commodities
- FAQ
The commodities market in 2025 is evolving quickly as a result of global economic trends, supply-demand shifts, and geopolitical changes. The previous year saw notable movements in key assets such as metals, energy resources, and agricultural products, sparking increased investor interest. Many now look for the most promising opportunities heading into 2025. This page outlines the leading commodities based on historical performance, market capitalization, growth outlook, volatility, and sector trends, providing a clear resource for both new and experienced investors seeking to make informed decisions.
Warning!
The content on this page is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Before investing in commodities, it is essential that you conduct your own research, assess the associated risks, and act with caution. We recommend you consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser and ensure you are aware of the applicable regulations in New Zealand.
What are the most promising commodities in 2025?
In 2025, the New Zealand commodities landscape reflects a blend of global volatility, supply-demand shifts, and evolving industrial priorities. With heightened attention to energy transition, geopolitical unrest, and climate-driven risks, the following ten commodities represent the most closely watched assets. These were selected for their popularity among investors, dynamic market capitalisation, liquidity profiles, volatility exposure, and forward-looking growth potential—key elements for evaluating opportunity within the sector.
| Commodity | Supply & Demand | Liquidity | Storage Complexity | Volatility | 10-Year Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | Resilient | High | Low | Low | +100% |
| Copper | Tight | High | Medium | High | +90% |
| Crude Oil | Variable | Very High | High | High | +50% |
| Silver | Growing | High | Medium | Moderate | +85% |
| Cocoa | Deficit | Moderate | Medium | High | +120% |
| Lithium | Strong | Moderate | Medium | High | +150% |
| Natural Gas | Increasing | High | High | High | +70% |
| Wheat | Steady | High | High | Moderate | +60% |
| Iron Ore | Oversupplied | High | High | Moderate | +30% |
| Coal | Weakening | High | High | Moderate | +40% |
Gold
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | Near $3,000/oz (July 2025) | Shows recent valuation |
| 📈 1-Year Return | +10% | Indicates steady interest in uncertainty |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $3,000/$1,200 | Measures range of historic moves |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | Highest among commodities | Reflects global significance and liquidity |
| 💧 Liquidity | Very high – global trading | Facilitates quick entry and exits |
| 📦 Storage | Straightforward, low cost | Important for long-term holders |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +50% | Spots medium-term growth |
| 🛡️ Investor Type | Safe-haven, hedgers, allocators | Attracts risk-averse and portfolio builders |
| ⚡ Volatility | Low | Suits conservative and institutional mandates |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | +5% | Captures short-term momentum |
Gold endures as a safe-haven asset, with consistent demand during macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical strife, or high inflation. Its highly liquid global market facilitates both retail and institutional participation and often acts as a portfolio stabiliser. Renewed price highs and historic stability underpin its relevance in 2025.
Copper
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | Strong rally; recent $10,000/ton | Indicates industrial and electrification trend |
| 📈 1-Year Return | +15% | Reflects global transition tailwinds |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $10,000/$4,000 | Examines cyclical amplitude |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | Very large, wide industrial adoption | Shows global economic sensitivity |
| 💧 Liquidity | High – heavily traded globally | Enables diverse trading strategies |
| 📦 Storage | Medium – needs secure warehousing | For physical traders & hedgers |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +60% | Demonstrates sustained demand |
| 🌱 Supply & Demand | Deficit, infrastructure-driven | Points to possible upward price pressure |
| ⚡ Volatility | High | Essential for managing investment risk |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | +8% | Indicates recent price strength |
Copper is central to renewable energy, power grids, and electric vehicles, making it highly sensitive to macro trends. Tight supply and rising global consumption could keep prices buoyant. These dynamics make copper particularly significant for market observers in 2025.
Crude Oil
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | ~$75/barrel | Benchmarks global energy dynamics |
| 📈 1-Year Return | -10% | Reveals impacts of volatility |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $150/$30 | Highlights broad range and risk |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | Largest in energy segment | Reflects global economic reach |
| 💧 Liquidity | Extremely high | Supports deep futures and options markets |
| 📦 Storage | Complex (requires tanks/infrastructure) | Raises costs and logistical challenges |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +20% | Signals post-pandemic recovery |
| ⚡ Volatility | High | Both opportunity and risk |
| 🛡️ Investor Type | Hedgers, speculators, institutions | Wide strategic roles for different players |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | -5% | Shows near-term price movements |
Crude oil remains pivotal for the energy mix despite decarbonisation pushes. Ongoing volatility is shaped by OPEC+ decisions, geopolitical risk, and demand recovery. Monitoring oil is key for those interested in macroeconomic and industrial health in 2025.
Silver
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | Recent rally, ~$50/oz | Mix of investment and technology demand |
| 📈 1-Year Return | +12% | Outpaces gold in industrial expansion |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $50/$15 | Contextualises risk and long-term cycles |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | High, but below gold | Diversifies metals segment |
| 💧 Liquidity | High – easy access in spot and futures | Trading & hedging across investor classes |
| 📦 Storage | Medium | Bulkier than gold but widely manageable |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +55% | Tracks sector innovation |
| 🛡️ Investor Type | Industrial users, investors, traders | Dual-use profile appeals to diverse buyers |
| ⚡ Volatility | Moderate | Both defensive and growth characteristics |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | +7% | Illustrates current optimism |
Silver bridges investment appeal and tech growth, being vital for electronics, solar panels, and batteries. Its volatility tends to be less than copper but higher than gold, keeping it visible for those seeking balanced exposure in 2025.
Cocoa
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | ~$3,500/ton | Currently elevated; supply concerns |
| 📈 1-Year Return | +20% | Signals exceptional recent demand-supply gap |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $3,500/$1,000 | Indicates climate-linked risk |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | Moderate | Smaller but influential within agri-markets |
| 💧 Liquidity | Medium – strong spot market | Transport and storage impact price |
| 📦 Storage | Medium – perishable, needs climate control | Costs for exporters and traders |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +70% | Captures rapid, structural price surge |
| ⚡ Volatility | High | Potential for price spikes |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | +10% | Tracks supply-shock driven rally |
| 🛡️ Investor Type | Agri-traders, hedgers, portfolio diversifiers | Exposure to food commodity cycles |
Cocoa’s recent surge has been driven by weather disruptions and supply shortages, with global demand yet to ease. This volatility attracts participants keen on food sector themes. Its place in the spotlight persists while market fundamentals remain tight in 2025.
Lithium
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | ~$20,000/ton | Indicates electric vehicle and battery demand |
| 📈 1-Year Return | +18% | Reflects demand for decarbonisation tech |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $20,000/$5,000 | Historic scale of the price boom |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | Moderate, fast-growing | Key to high-tech and mobility sectors |
| 💧 Liquidity | Moderate | Growing, but not as widely traded as metals |
| 📦 Storage | Medium – chemical handling needed | Relevant for industrial users |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +80% | Demonstrates rapid ecosystem expansion |
| 🌱 Supply & Demand | Tight, strong demand | Underpins price risk and opportunity |
| ⚡ Volatility | High | Implies swift price corrections possible |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | +6% | Recent upward moves |
Lithium is a barometer for the green revolution. Rapid adoption in electric vehicles and batteries keeps its fundamentals strong despite high volatility. Focus on energy transition themes fuels further attention in 2025.
Natural Gas
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | ~$15/unit | Indicates alternative energy shift |
| 📈 1-Year Return | +9% | Reflects sector-wide transformation |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $15/$2 | Tracks historic volatility |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | High | Key link in global energy supply chain |
| 💧 Liquidity | High | Attractive for active participants |
| 📦 Storage | High – requires complex, secure infrastructure | Affects market response to supply changes |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +40% | Sheds light on sustained relevance |
| 🌱 Supply & Demand | Increasing (clean energy demand) | Policy and climate trends impact price |
| ⚡ Volatility | High | Useful for tactical positioning |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | +4% | Recent market action |
Natural gas sits at the intersection of cleaner electricity generation and legacy fossil fuel use. Its short-term volatility is balanced by long-term relevance to the power mix, keeping it high on watchlists as NZ leans further into renewable adoption.
Wheat
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | ~$800/ton | Barometer of food security |
| 📈 1-Year Return | +8% | Shows resilience and demand |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $800/$300 | Sets agricultural risk bounds |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | High (essential staple) | Broadens commodity exposure |
| 💧 Liquidity | High – deep, active market | Eases risk transfer for farmers, traders |
| 📦 Storage | High – seasonal storage considerations | Cost and logistics important |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +30% | Highlights ongoing global demand |
| ⚡ Volatility | Moderate | Suitable for varying risk appetites |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | +3% | Indicates current market trends |
Wheat’s crucial role in the food supply keeps it buffered from severe economic downtrends. With climate threats and geopolitical shocks affecting crops worldwide, wheat markets remain vital for both producers and consumers through 2025.
Iron Ore
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | ~$90/ton (declining trend) | Mirrors global construction and steel cycles |
| 📈 1-Year Return | -5% | Shows response to demand saturation |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $200/$50 | Delivers insight on cyclical lows/highs |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | Significant | Important for infrastructure exposure |
| 💧 Liquidity | High | Key for large-scale hedgers |
| 📦 Storage | High – bulk cargo, dry storage | Infrastructure for export, handling |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +10% | Slower momentum as market matures |
| ⚡ Volatility | Moderate | Highlights cyclical versus secular trends |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | -2% | Recent price challenges |
Iron ore is an industrial bellwether commodity with direct links to the construction and manufacturing sectors, especially in China. As steel production plateaus, monitoring price troughs and rebounds offers insights into global demand rhythms in 2025.
Coal
| Criterion | Description | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 🪙 Current Price | ~$105/ton (downtrend) | Affected by energy policies |
| 📈 1-Year Return | -7% | Reflects negative sentiment |
| ⏳ 10-Year High/Low | $150/$40 | Historical perspective for risk |
| 🏦 Market Capitalization | Substantial, but contracting | Energy transition shapes future trajectory |
| 💧 Liquidity | High | Major legacy energy commodity |
| 📦 Storage | High | Costs tied to bulk and handling |
| 🔄 5-Year Return | +15% | Illustrates transition impact |
| ⚡ Volatility | Moderate | Still exposed to global energy uncertainty |
| ⏱️ 6-Month Evolution | -3% | Recent declines underscore changing mix |
Coal's future depends on the speed of energy transition and decarbonisation policies. Although facing demand headwinds, coal remains a benchmark for understanding energy sector shifts in 2025, with ongoing relevance for regions not yet fully transitioned.
Which commodities to choose based on your investor profile?
Choosing which commodities to buy will depend on your personal investment goals, experience, and risk profile. Beginners often start with assets known for stability, while more experienced investors may consider markets with higher volatility and growth potential. Understanding your profile can help you select a commodity strategy that suits your needs and helps build confidence in navigating the commodities market.
| Investor Profile | Recommended Assets |
|---|---|
| Beginner | Gold, Silver, diversified commodities funds or ETFs, government-backed savings plans |
| Intermediate | Copper, Wheat, Natural Gas, Cocoa, NZX-listed commodity funds, sector-specific baskets |
| Experienced | Direct trading in futures/options, Lithium, Crude Oil, Iron Ore, active management in cyclical/volatile markets |
Good to know:
If you’re starting out with commodities, consider beginning with a small budget. Taking a gradual approach helps you learn how commodity prices move in real markets while limiting your risk as you build experience.
How to buy commodities in New Zealand?
Buying financial assets such as stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, or commodities is now accessible to everyone in New Zealand thanks to robust and secure online platforms. No matter your level of experience, you can start your investing journey safely by following key steps designed to protect your funds and personal information.
| Step | What to Do |
|---|---|
| Choose a reliable exchange or broker | Select a reputable, NZ-registered broker or exchange with solid security and support |
| Create an account and verify identity | Register on the platform and complete identity verification as required by local laws |
| Deposit funds (bank card or wire transfer) | Add money to your investment account using secure options like bank transfer or card |
| Purchase desired assets | Use the platform’s buy tools to purchase the assets you want |
| Secure their storage (external wallet or securities account) | For shares/ETFs, use your securities account; for cryptocurrencies, consider an external wallet |
Good to know
In New Zealand, your profits from buying and selling financial assets—including stocks, cryptocurrencies, and commodities—may be taxable. It’s important to keep detailed records of every transaction to make tax time easier and ensure you meet your obligations.
5 Tips for Buying Commodities
Before buying commodities, it’s important to take some key steps to make sure your investment is thoughtful and secure. The commodities market in New Zealand can be influenced by global supply and demand, climate factors, and international politics. By following clear recommendations and recognising the oversight of local regulators—like the Financial Markets Authority (FMA) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)—you’ll help protect your finances and make informed choices as you start your investment journey.
| Tip | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Use regulated brokers or platforms | Always buy commodities using services checked or licensed by the FMA or RBNZ for extra security and investor protection. |
| Learn the basics of commodities | Take time to understand how prices move and what factors (like weather, policy, or demand) affect different commodities. |
| Set your objectives and risk limits | Decide what you want to achieve and how much risk you’re comfortable with before making your first buy. |
| Diversify your investments | Don’t put all your money into one commodity—spread your risk across several to protect against unexpected changes. |
| Understand fees and tax obligations | Be aware of trading fees and New Zealand tax rules on profits to avoid surprises at tax time. |
FAQ
What is the best opportunity to trade in commodities in 2025?
The best opportunity in commodities for 2025 depends on shifting global trends, such as demand for renewable energy resources, safe-haven assets, and food security. It’s a good idea to watch market developments and focus on sectors showing strong or stable growth, always staying aware of possible risks.
How can I tell if a commodity is promising for investment in 2025?
A promising commodity often demonstrates steady demand, favourable price trends, and supportive economic or technological factors. For example, growth in renewable energy may boost demand for metals like copper and lithium. Researching market news and performance data helps you identify potential.
What strategy should I adopt to invest in commodities in 2025?
Diversifying across various commodities—such as metals, energy, and agricultural products—can help balance risk. Regularly reviewing your investments and staying informed about local and global events allows you to adjust your approach as markets change.
What are the main risks of trading commodities?
Commodities can be very volatile, with prices affected by global events, weather, and policy changes. Sharp fluctuations may lead to losses, so it’s wise to only invest what you can afford and to keep learning as market conditions evolve.
Does New Zealand have specific regulations or taxes for commodity investing?
Yes, in New Zealand, investment in commodities may have tax implications, and trading is subject to regulations. It’s important to keep good records of all transactions and consult official guidance or a tax specialist to understand your obligations each year.
What is the best opportunity to trade in commodities in 2025?
The best opportunity in commodities for 2025 depends on shifting global trends, such as demand for renewable energy resources, safe-haven assets, and food security. It’s a good idea to watch market developments and focus on sectors showing strong or stable growth, always staying aware of possible risks.
How can I tell if a commodity is promising for investment in 2025?
A promising commodity often demonstrates steady demand, favourable price trends, and supportive economic or technological factors. For example, growth in renewable energy may boost demand for metals like copper and lithium. Researching market news and performance data helps you identify potential.
What strategy should I adopt to invest in commodities in 2025?
Diversifying across various commodities—such as metals, energy, and agricultural products—can help balance risk. Regularly reviewing your investments and staying informed about local and global events allows you to adjust your approach as markets change.
What are the main risks of trading commodities?
Commodities can be very volatile, with prices affected by global events, weather, and policy changes. Sharp fluctuations may lead to losses, so it’s wise to only invest what you can afford and to keep learning as market conditions evolve.
Does New Zealand have specific regulations or taxes for commodity investing?
Yes, in New Zealand, investment in commodities may have tax implications, and trading is subject to regulations. It’s important to keep good records of all transactions and consult official guidance or a tax specialist to understand your obligations each year.
